Igdirspor vs Hatayspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 7
  • Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.25
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
73% (252/343)82% (337/412)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.831.38
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
139
Passes
73% (252/343)82% (337/412)
Long passes
43% (30/69)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
60% (58/96)74% (108/145)
Crosses
23% (3/13)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.69
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
913
Tackles
56% (5/9)100% (4/4)
Duels won
4027
Clearances
1415
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.382.83
Goals prevented
-0.62-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Kaya G. , Vural G. (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Rui Pedro , Bamgboye F. (A),
  • 16', Saglam G. 🟨,
  • 24', 2 - 1, Kaya G. , Vural G. (A),
  • 43', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Durmushan U. , Corekci K. ,
  • 46', Sarka B. , Temel S. ,
  • 56', Bruno G. , Koita F. ,
  • 58', Massanga Matondo , Aksoy D. ,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Engin A. , Kaya G. (A),
  • 68', Rui Pedro 🟨,
  • 70', Conte A. 🟥,
  • 72', Engin A. , Bekaroglu B. ,
  • 73', Ozturk A. 🟨,
  • 77', Rui Pedro , Matur O. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Matur O. ,
  • 85', Asan S. , Rotariu D. ,
  • 85', Guctekin O. K. , Guneren A. K. ,
  • 86', Erdogan D. , Akcan E. ,
  • 87', Bolat S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Alici K. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Aksoy E. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 4 - 2, Koita F. ,

Chances of winning


Igdirspor
61.4%
Draw
21.5%
Hatayspor
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 22.5% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 17.8% 19.7%

Igdirspor - Hatayspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.5
(1.49)
4.29
(4.1)
5.53
(5.91)
8.1%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Hatayspor?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 68.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Igdirspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hatayspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Igdirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Igdirspor is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Igdirspor: Kayatekin A. (Inactive) Ozturk Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Hatayspor: Parmak A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Hatayspor: Hodzic A. (Muscle Injury) Kilama G. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    19.09.2025 Umraniyespor - Igdirspor 0:1
    30.08.2025 Manisa FK - Igdirspor 1:1
    23.08.2025 Igdirspor - Vanspor 0:0
    17.08.2025 Sakaryaspor - Igdirspor 3:2
    Latest results of Hatayspor
    19.09.2025 Hatayspor - Boluspor 2:2
    16.09.2025 Hatayspor - Erciyes 38 2:3
    12.09.2025 Erokspor - Hatayspor 4:1
    30.08.2025 Hatayspor - İstanbulspor 1:1
    24.08.2025 Umraniyespor - Hatayspor 1:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amedspor19123442:251739
    2Pendikspor19107232:131937
    3Erokspor1997341:202134
    4Erzurumspor1989233:171633
    5Bodrumspor1995538:182032
    6Corum1995528:20832
    7Igdir FK1986529:27230
    8Boluspor1985636:211529
    9Vanspor FK1976627:20727
    10Keciorengucu1968531:23826
    11Bandirmaspor1975721:20126
    12Serik Spor1975723:29-626
    13Sivasspor1967624:19525
    14Istanbulspor AS1959525:30-524
    15Manisa FK1965828:31-323
    16Sakaryaspor1964931:38-722
    17Sariyer19631019:25-621
    18Umraniyespor19631020:29-921
    19Hatayspor19061316:50-346
    20Adana Demirspor19021714:83-69-28

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation