Result
2:1
31/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (50/76) | 60% (40/67) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 67% (24/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/10 | 4/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 34% (26/76) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 33% (12/36) | 46% (22/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/8 | 3/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 38 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 50% (6/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (77/125) | 62% (64/103) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (39/103) | 38% (48/125) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (116/228) | 49% (112/228) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 76% (13/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 47% (16/34) |
Chances of winning
Ignacio Buse
36.5% | Matteo Berrettini
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.33) |
|
1.5 ↓
(1.56) |
4.8%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Berrettini will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Buse is ranked ATP: 63. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 68.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Berrettini is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ignacio Buse won against Matteo Berrettini?
Ignacio Buse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Berrettini won against Ignacio Buse?
Matteo Berrettini has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini were as follows:
20.02.2026
Ignacio Buse
-
Matteo Berrettini
2:1
Latest results of Ignacio Buse
Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Bennani R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bennani K. (WC) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Moutet C. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Baadi T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rocha H. (Q) | Trungelliti M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cerundolo J. M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kopriva V. (6) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Cina F. (NG) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jodar R. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (4) | |
| 13 | Buse I. (7) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Skatov T. (Q) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | van Assche L. | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bennani K. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Moutet C. (3) | Baadi T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kopriva V. (6) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Machac T. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Buse I. (7) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | van Assche L. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (WO.) (1) | Hanfmann Y. (8) | |
| 2 | Moutet C. (3) | Trungelliti M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Muller A. (RET.) | Jodar R. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Ugo Carabelli C. | van Assche L. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
