Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Rio de Janeiro
20/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Chances of winning


Ignacio Buse
35.3%		Matteo Berrettini
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 63%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
    •

    Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.69 ↓
    (2.74)
    		1.48 ↑
    (1.45)    		 5%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 50.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Buse (votes: 2 - 50%). Berrettini (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Buse (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games - Buse (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Buse (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Berrettini (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Buse is ranked ATP: 91. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 57.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Berrettini could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ignacio Buse
    19.02.2026 Joao Fonseca - Ignacio Buse 1:2 ✺
    16.02.2026 Igor Marcondes - Ignacio Buse 1:2 ✺
    16.02.2026 Laslo Djere - Ignacio Buse Canceled
    12.02.2026 Ignacio Buse - Sebastian Baez 0:2 ✺
    10.02.2026 Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    19.02.2026 Matteo Berrettini - Dusan Lajovic 2:1 ✺
    17.02.2026 Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Matteo Berrettini 0:2
    17.02.2026 Lorenzo Sonego - Matteo Berrettini Canceled
    11.02.2026 Vit Kopriva - Matteo Berrettini 2:0 ✺
    10.02.2026 Federico Coria - Matteo Berrettini 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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