Ignacio Buse vs Moez Echargui – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
103
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
59%59%
1st serve points won
82% (41/50)64% (37/58)
2nd serve points won
43% (15/35)60% (24/40)
Break Points Saved
0/26/11
1st return points won
36% (21/58)22% (11/50)
2nd return points won
40% (16/40)57% (20/35)
Break Points Converted
5/112/2
Winners
3622
Unforced errors
4435
Net points won
83% (15/18)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
66% (56/85)62% (60/97)
Return Points Won
38% (37/97)34% (29/85)
Total Points Won
51% (93/182)49% (89/182)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
87% (13/15)69% (11/16)
Return games won
31% (5/16)13% (2/15)
Total games won
58% (18/31)42% (13/31)

Chances of winning


Ignacio Buse
69.7%
Moez Echargui
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.
  • Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moez Echargui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moez Echargui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ignacio Buse - Moez Echargui Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.61)

    3.15
    (2.2)
    4.8%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Ignacio Buse - Moez Echargui?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Buse (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 Games - Buse (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - Buse (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 23 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 Games - Buse (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Ignacio Buse will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Buse (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Buse is ranked ATP: 63. Echargui is ranked ATP: 138.
    • Buse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Echargui has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Buse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ignacio Buse
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Marozsan F.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    4ByeKorda S. (32)
    5Darderi L. (17)Bye
    6Giron M.Landaluce M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    8ByeKhachanov K. (14)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Quinn E.Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    11Kouame M. (WC)Svajda Z. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeLehecka J. (21)
    13Draper J. (25)Bye
    14Opelka R.Borges N.2 : 1
    15Shapovalov D.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    16ByeFritz T. (6)
    17Vukic A. (LL)Bye
    18Jodar R. (Q)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 1
    19Bergs Z.Brooksby J.2 : 0
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (29)
    21Paul T. (22)Bye
    22Zhang Z. (PR)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    23Collignon R.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    24ByeCobolli F. (13)
    25Bublik A. (10)Bye
    26Muller A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    27Basilashvili N. (Q)Navone M.0 : 2
    28ByeVacherot V. (24)
    29Fils A. (28)Bye
    30Blanch Dar. (WC)Struff J-L.2 : 1
    31Tsitsipas S.Fery A. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    33Shelton B. (8)Bye
    34Arnaldi M.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    35Diallo G.Wu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    36ByeHumbert U. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (18)Bye
    38Royer V.Tirante T. A. (LL)1 : 2
    39Kovacevic A.Sakamoto R. (WC)1 : 2
    40ByeMedvedev D. (9)
    41Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Bye
    42Halys Q.Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    43Majchrzak K.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    44ByeTien L. (20)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Cilic M.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    47Damm M. (WC)Fearnley J. (RET.)1 : 0
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Bye
    50O'Connell C. (Q)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    51Atmane T.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    52ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    53Tiafoe F. (19)Bye
    54Cazaux A.Barrios Vera T. (Q)2 : 0
    55Walton A. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Rublev A. (15)Bye
    58Tabilo A.Comesana F.2 : 0
    59Michelsen A.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeNorrie C. (23)
    61Moutet C. (30)Bye
    62Nava E.Machac T.1 : 2
    63Buse I. (Q)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Korda S. (32)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (17)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    4Bautista-Agut R.Khachanov K. (14)0 : 2
    5Ruud C. (11)Quinn E.0 : 2
    6Kouame M.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    7Draper J. (25)Opelka R.0 : 2
    8Van De Zandschulp B.Fritz T. (6)1 : 2
    9Vukic A.Jodar R.0 : 2
    10Bergs Z.Etcheverry T. M. (29)0 : 2
    11Paul T. (22)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    12Collignon R.Cobolli F. (13)2 : 0
    13Bublik A. (10)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    14Navone M.Vacherot V. (24)0 : 2
    15Fils A. (28)Blanch Dar.2 : 0
    16Tsitsipas S.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    17Shelton B. (8)Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    18Diallo G.Humbert U. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (18)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    20Sakamoto R.Medvedev D. (9)1 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Halys Q.0 : 2
    22Majchrzak K.Tien L. (20)2 : 1
    23Nakashima B. (27)Cilic M.1 : 2
    24Damm M.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    26Atmane T.Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 0
    27Tiafoe F. (19)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    28Walton A.Mensik J. (12)1 : 2
    29Rublev A. (15)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    30Michelsen A.Norrie C. (23)2 : 1
    31Moutet C. (30)Machac T.2 : 1
    32Dzumhur D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Korda S. (32)1 : 2
    2Landaluce M.Khachanov K. (14)2 : 0
    3Quinn E.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    4Opelka R.Fritz T. (6)0 : 2
    5Jodar R.Etcheverry T. M. (29)0 : 2
    6Paul T. (22)Collignon R.2 : 1
    7Berrettini M.Vacherot V. (24)0 : 2
    8Fils A. (28)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    9Shevchenko A.Humbert U. (31)0 : 2
    10Cerundolo F. (18)Medvedev D. (9)2 : 1
    11Halys Q.Majchrzak K.2 : 0
    12Cilic M.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Atmane T.1 : 2
    14Tiafoe F. (19)Mensik J. (12)2 : 1
    15Tabilo A.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    16Moutet C. (30)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Korda S. (32)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J. (21)Fritz T. (6)2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (29)Paul T. (22)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (24)Fils A. (28)1 : 2
    5Humbert U. (31)Cerundolo F. (18)0 : 2
    6Halys Q.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (19)1 : 2
    8Michelsen A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Landaluce M.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    2Paul T. (22)Fils A. (28)1 : 2
    3Cerundolo F. (18)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    4Tiafoe F. (19)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Lehecka J. (21)Fils A. (28)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Lehecka J. (21)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2