Ilia Simakin vs Alexis Galarneau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Manama Challenger Men Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau
Result
1:2
12/02/2025 at 04:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama (Bahrain), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
155
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
74%66%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (51/67)72% (52/72)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (11/23)57% (21/37)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)92% (11/12)
1st Return Points Won
28% (20/72)24% (16/67)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (16/37)52% (12/23)
Break Points Converted
8% (1/12)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
70% (62/89)66% (71/107)
Return Points Won
34% (36/107)30% (27/89)
Total Points Won
50% (98/196)50% (98/196)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)93% (14/15)
Return Games Won
7% (1/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Ilia Simakin
40%
Alexis Galarneau
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.45)

    1.57
    (1.54)
    6.9%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Galarneau will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Simakin is ranked ATP: 332. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 178.
    • Simakin in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Galarneau is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Galarneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Galarneau will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 2.4.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    09.02.2025 Ilia Simakin - Ray Ho Simakin I. walkover
    08.02.2025 Ilia Simakin - Martin Krumich Krumich M. walkover
    Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Mejia N.2 : 0
    2Broom C. (Alt)Dougaz A.1 : 2
    3Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)Andreev A. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Durasovic V. (Alt)Basilashvili N. (6)2 : 1
    5De Jong J. (3)Karatsev A.2 : 1
    6Sharipov M. (Q)Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    7Jianu F. C.Bar Biryukov P. (Q)2 : 1
    8Lestienne C.Ajdukovic D. (7)1 : 2
    9Uchiyama Y. (5)Simakin I. (Q)0 : 2
    10Galarneau A.Yevseyev D.2 : 1
    11Kuzmanov D. (Q)Vavassori A. (WC)1 : 2
    12Karlovskiy E. (Q)Kukushkin M. (4)0 : 2
    13Atmane T. (8)Sun F. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Wong C.Bakshi A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Evans D.Paire B. (WC)2 : 1
    16Holt B.Kotov P. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Dougaz A.2 : 0
    2Budkov Kjaer N.Durasovic V.0 : 2
    3De Jong J. (3)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    4Jianu F. C.Ajdukovic D. (7)1 : 2
    5Simakin I.Galarneau A.1 : 2
    6Vavassori A.Kukushkin M. (4)2 : 1
    7Atmane T. (8)Wong C.2 : 0
    8Evans D.Holt B.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Durasovic V.2 : 0
    2Sharipov M.Ajdukovic D. (7)2 : 1
    3Galarneau A.Vavassori A.0 : 2
    4Atmane T. (8)Holt B.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Sharipov M.2 : 0
    2Vavassori A.Holt B.2 : 1

    Final
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Vavassori A.2 : 1