Result
2:0
07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (26/35) | 56% (20/36) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 39% (11/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 62% (8/13) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 26% (9/35) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 56% (9/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 67% (2/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (33/51) | 48% (31/64) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 35% (18/51) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (66/115) | 43% (49/115) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Ilia Simakin
53.6% | Alibek Kachmazov
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilia Simakin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alibek Kachmazov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ilia Simakin - Alibek Kachmazov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.86) |
|
2.01 ↑
(1.86) |
7.2%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Ilia Simakin - Alibek Kachmazov?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Simakin is ranked ATP: 264. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 161.
- Simakin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kachmazov is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kachmazov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Simakin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilia Simakin won against Alibek Kachmazov?
Ilia Simakin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alibek Kachmazov won against Ilia Simakin?
Alibek Kachmazov has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilia Simakin - Alibek Kachmazov were as follows:
16.04.2025
Alibek Kachmazov
-
Ilia Simakin
1:2
14.04.2023
Ilia Simakin
-
Alibek Kachmazov
0:2
Latest results of Ilia Simakin
Latest results of Alibek Kachmazov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Walton A. (RET.) (1) | Ilagan A. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Chen C. (WC) | Takahashi Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Te R. (RET.) (WC) | Simakin I. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Hsu Y. H. | Kachmazov A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tu L. (4) | Sun F. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Escoffier A. | Svajda Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Watanuki Y. | Zhou Y. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Peniston R. | McCabe J. (RET.) (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Grenier H. (5) | Noguchi R. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Li Z. (Q) | Imai S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Langmo C. | Wu Tung-Lin | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Ivashka I. (PR) | Atmane T. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Lestienne C. (7) | Uchiyama Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Zhu E. (Q) | Bolt A. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cui J. | Bouzige M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Jasika O. | Schoolkate T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ilagan A. | Takahashi Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Simakin I. | Kachmazov A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sun F. | Escoffier A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Watanuki Y. | Peniston R. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Noguchi R. | Li Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Wu Tung-Lin | Atmane T. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lestienne C. (7) | Bolt A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Cui J. | Schoolkate T. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Takahashi Y. | Simakin I. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Sun F. | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Noguchi R. | Atmane T. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bolt A. | Cui J. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Simakin I. | Sun F. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atmane T. (3) | Bolt A. | 0 : 2 |
Final
