Ilia Simakin vs Fajing Sun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Wuxi Challenger Men Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
68%58%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (33/50)68% (32/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (15/23)65% (22/34)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)82% (9/11)
1st Return Points Won
34% (16/47)26% (13/50)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (15/34)61% (14/23)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
63% (45/72)65% (52/80)
Return Points Won
35% (28/80)38% (27/72)
Total Points Won
48% (73/152)52% (79/152)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Ilia Simakin
72%
Fajing Sun
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.35)

    3.34
    (2.98)
    6.5%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Simakin is ranked ATP: 264. Sun is ranked ATP: 289.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Simakin is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    Latest results of Fajing Sun
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Walton A. (RET.) (1)Ilagan A. (Q)0 : 1
    2Chen C. (WC)Takahashi Y. (Q)0 : 2
    3Te R. (RET.) (WC)Simakin I.0 : 1
    4Hsu Y. H.Kachmazov A. (8)0 : 2
    5Tu L. (4)Sun F.0 : 2
    6Escoffier A.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    7Watanuki Y.Zhou Y. (WC)2 : 1
    8Peniston R.McCabe J. (RET.) (6)1 : 0
    9Grenier H. (5)Noguchi R.1 : 2
    10Li Z. (Q)Imai S. (Q)2 : 0
    11Langmo C.Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    12Ivashka I. (PR)Atmane T. (3)1 : 2
    13Lestienne C. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 0
    14Zhu E. (Q)Bolt A.0 : 2
    15Cui J.Bouzige M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Jasika O.Schoolkate T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ilagan A.Takahashi Y.1 : 2
    2Simakin I.Kachmazov A. (8)2 : 0
    3Sun F.Escoffier A.2 : 1
    4Watanuki Y.Peniston R.1 : 2
    5Noguchi R.Li Z.2 : 0
    6Wu Tung-LinAtmane T. (3)0 : 2
    7Lestienne C. (7)Bolt A.1 : 2
    8Cui J.Schoolkate T. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Takahashi Y.Simakin I.0 : 2
    2Sun F.Peniston R.2 : 0
    3Noguchi R.Atmane T. (3)0 : 2
    4Bolt A.Cui J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Simakin I.Sun F.1 : 2
    2Atmane T. (3)Bolt A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Sun F.Bolt A.2 : 0