Iliria vs Lushnja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Selmani S. , Fofana M. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 0, Mavanga D. J. , Fofana M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Iliria
48.1%
Draw
29.4%
Lushnja
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 27.6% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 26.6% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Lushnja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iliria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Iliria - Lushnja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.75)
    3.06
    (3.25)
    4
    (4.25)
    11.2%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Iliria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Iliria is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Iliria
    08.02.2026 Burreli - Iliria 1:1
    31.01.2026 Iliria - Apolonia Fier 2:0
    24.01.2026 Korabi Peshkopi - Iliria 2:1
    17.01.2026 Iliria - Kastrioti 0:1
    21.12.2025 Besa Kavajë - Iliria 3:1
    Latest results of Lushnja
    07.02.2026 Lushnja - Laçi 0:1
    01.02.2026 Lushnja - Burreli 0:1
    25.01.2026 Apolonia Fier - Lushnja 0:0
    17.01.2026 Lushnja - Korabi Peshkopi 2:0
    20.12.2025 Kastrioti - Lushnja 2:1
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu24183346:232357
    2Laci24166241:152654
    3Pogradeci24147339:201949
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje2489723:24-133
    5Kastrioti2496930:35-533
    6Burreli2487919:27-831
    7Besa Kavaje24771026:26028
    8Korabi Peshkopi24771025:29-428
    9Apolonia Fier24661222:29-724
    10Lushnja24481221:33-1220
    11AF Luftetari243101124:35-1119
    12Kukesi24441619:39-2016

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation