Result
3:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Odunaiya D. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Martin O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 68', 2 - 1, Odunaiya D. ⚽,
- 75', 3 - 1, Fox R. ⚽,
- 78', 3 - 2, Martin G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ilkeston
35.3% | Draw
27.2% | Hebburn Town
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Ilkeston - Hebburn Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.76) |
3.34 ↓
(3.62) |
2.42 ↑
(2.28) |
10.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
- Ilkeston has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hebburn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Hebburn has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Hebburn Town?
Ilkeston has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hebburn Town won against Ilkeston?
Hebburn Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Hebburn Town were as follows:
18.11.2025
Hebburn Town
-
Ilkeston
5:0
05.04.2025
Hebburn Town
-
Ilkeston
1:2
30.11.2024
Ilkeston
-
Hebburn Town
2:1
Latest results of Ilkeston
Latest results of Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 73 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | FC United | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 62:36 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Stockton | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:44 | 9 | 58 |
| 8 | Cleethorpes | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 56:46 | 10 | 54 |
| 9 | Leek | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 51 |
| 11 | Bamber Bridge | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51:48 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Ilkeston | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 49:52 | -3 | 48 |
| 13 | Warrington | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41:58 | -17 | 48 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 45:55 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Rushall | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 47:59 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Whitby | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Hyde | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 54:62 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Workington | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 36:53 | -17 | 39 |
| 20 | Prescot | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:63 | -25 | 35 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
