Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 1', 1 - 0, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, Youmbi D. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 1, Symington D. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 2, Ellis L. M. ⚽,
- 41', 3 - 2, Youmbi D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Youmbi D. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Ilkeston
57.1% | Draw
23.2% | Workington
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Ilkeston - Workington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.66) |
4.07 ↑
(3.62) |
4.78 ↑
(4.41) |
6.1%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2.
- Recent form of Ilkeston has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Workington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Workington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ilkeston is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Workington?
Ilkeston has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Workington won against Ilkeston?
Workington has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Workington were as follows:
08.02.2025
Ilkeston
-
Workington
1:0
12.10.2024
Workington
-
Ilkeston
2:1
23.12.2023
Workington
-
Ilkeston
4:1
19.08.2023
Ilkeston
-
Workington
6:1
Latest results of Ilkeston
Latest results of Workington
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lancaster | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Stockton | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 22:12 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Hednesford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Gainsborough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | Warrington Rylands | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | FC United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Prescot | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Ilkeston | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cleethorpes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Guiseley | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 | Ashton Utd | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 14 | Rushall | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 15 | Leek | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 | Whitby | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Hyde | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Stocksbridge | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Warrington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 20 | Workington | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 |
| 21 | Morpeth | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
