Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
100:99
05/02/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
4139
Field goals made
4037
Field goals %
97.56%94.87%
2-point field goals attempts
159
2-point field goals made
2724
2-point field goals %
100%100%
3-point field goals attempts
2630
3-point field goals made
1313
3-point field goals %
50%43.33%
Free throws attempts
814
Free throws made
512
Free throws %
62.5%85.7%
Offensive rebounds
1314
Defensive rebounds
2631
Total rebounds
3945
Assists
2527
Blocks
34
Turnovers
1116
Steals
87
Personal fouls
1514

Highlights

Chances of winning


Illawarra Hawks
40.5%
Adelaide 36ers
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Adelaide 36ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide 36ers than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Illawarra Hawks - Adelaide 36ers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.3)

    1.59
    (1.51)
    5.9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 187.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Illawarra Hawks - Adelaide 36ers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Illawarra will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2, OT - Adelaide (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, 2nd Half - Adelaide (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 2 - 50%). Adelaide (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:96.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Illawarra has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1710:1756. (average 85.5:87.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 870:855. (average 87:85.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illawarra Hawks - Adelaide 36ers were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Illawarra Hawks - Adelaide 36ers 78:84
    19.11.2025 Adelaide 36ers - Illawarra Hawks 97:85
    02.11.2025 Adelaide 36ers - Illawarra Hawks 90:88
    27.08.2025 Adelaide 36ers - Illawarra Hawks 104:83
    13.01.2025 Adelaide 36ers - Illawarra Hawks 91:88
    Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
    Latest results of Adelaide 36ers
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111