Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
91:100
14/02/2026 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8067
Field goals made
2935
Field goals %
36.25%52.24%
2-point field goals attempts
4640
2-point field goals made
1725
2-point field goals %
36.96%62.5%
3-point field goals attempts
3427
3-point field goals made
1210
3-point field goals %
35.29%37.04%
Free throws attempts
2728
Free throws made
2120
Free throws %
77.8%71.4%
Offensive rebounds
1310
Defensive rebounds
2538
Total rebounds
3848
Assists
1917
Blocks
65
Turnovers
1118
Steals
118
Personal fouls
1823

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Melbourne United
69.6%
Illawarra Hawks
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Illawarra Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.41)

    3.11
    (2.95)
    6.1%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 189.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -5.5, OT - Melbourne (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 188.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 99:92.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 2.
    • In recent matches, Melbourne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Illawarra is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1920:1878. (average 96:93.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1043:982. (average 94.8:89.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks were as follows:
    18.12.2025 Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks 97:75
    21.11.2025 Illawarra Hawks - Melbourne United 102:105
    05.11.2025 Illawarra Hawks - Melbourne United 107:93
    22.03.2025 Illawarra Hawks - Melbourne United 114:104
    19.03.2025 Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks 71:80
    Latest results of Melbourne United
    Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111