Penrith Panthers vs Illawarra Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
81:76
10/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East Women

Chances of winning


Penrith Panthers
44.2%
Illawarra Hawks
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penrith Panthers's form might have worsened.
  • Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illawarra Hawks's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penrith Panthers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illawarra Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Penrith Panthers - Illawarra Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.79)

    1.66
    (1.88)
    8.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 139.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Penrith Panthers - Illawarra Hawks?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -5.5, OT - Illawarra Hawks (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - Illawarra Hawks (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Illawarra Hawks (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Illawarra Hawks will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Illawarra Hawks (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 69:72.
  • Preview Facts
    • Penrith Panthers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Illawarra Hawks's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Illawarra Hawks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Penrith Panthers has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Penrith Panthers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 197:223. (average 65.7:74.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Penrith Panthers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:70.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penrith Panthers - Illawarra Hawks were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Illawarra Hawks - Penrith Panthers 79:56
    01.07.2023 Penrith Panthers - Illawarra Hawks 58:70
    18.03.2023 Illawarra Hawks - Penrith Panthers 74:83
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
    Australian NBL1 East Women Table
    2026
    PlWLPts
    1Norths Bears W770624:41114
    2Manly W. W660573:37012
    3Bankstown Bruins W642478:46210
    4Newcastle Falcons W541381:3129
    5Hornsby S. W532449:3448
    6Maitland Mustangs W624435:4208
    7Sydney Comets W624397:4458
    8Illawarra Hawks W624334:4738
    9Central Coast W716385:6188
    10BA CoE W431339:2407
    11Sutherland Sharks W431296:2487
    12Albury W523410:3767
    13Hills Hornets W523339:3407
    14Canberra W523317:3287
    15Penrith P. W514265:4146
    16Inner West Bulls W606309:5306

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