Illawarra Hawks vs South East Melbourne Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
113:109 OT
04/12/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 11

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
76103
Field Goals Made
4837
Field Goals %
63.16%35.92%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5845
2-Point Field Goals Made
4221
2-Point Field Goals %
72.41%46.67%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1858
3-Point Field Goals Made
616
3-Point Field Goals %
33.33%27.59%
Free Throws Attempted
1328
Free Throws Made
1119
Free Throws %
84.6%67.9%
Offensive Rebounds
1027
Defensive Rebounds
4119
Total Rebounds
5146
Assists
2526
Blocks
85
Turnovers
249
Steals
514
Personal Fouls
2114

Highlights

Chances of winning


Illawarra Hawks
51.1%
South East Melbourne Phoenix
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 56%

Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(2.18)

1.93
(1.7)
6.1%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 188.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
What is the prediction for Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Illawarra will win (votes: 2 - 40%). South East Melbourne will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 1 - 33.3%). South East Melbourne (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 95:95.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1860:1876. (average 93:93.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Illawarra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 981:916. (average 98.1:91.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:
    18.10.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks 116:76
    05.03.2025 Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix 126:96
    01.03.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks 101:94
    28.02.2025 Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix 101:94
    31.12.2024 Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix 105:110
    Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
    Australian NBL Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Adelaide181441678:15640.778
    2Melbourne United191361821:17010.684
    3South East Melbourne171161648:15170.647
    4Sydney171071571:14690.588
    5Perth181081601:15630.556
    6Tasmania JackJumpers188101541:15500.444
    7New Zealand Breakers187111598:15900.389
    8Illawarra Hawks166101444:15510.375
    9Brisbane Bullets185131543:17180.278
    10Cairns Taipans174131382:16040.235

          Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)