Illawarra Hawks vs South East Melbourne Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix
Result
126:96
05/03/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: NBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
8080
Field Goals Made
4532
Field Goals %
56.3%40%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4144
2-Point Field Goals Made
2620
2-Point Field Goals %
63.4%45.5%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3936
3-Point Field Goals Made
1912
3-Point Field Goals %
48.7%33.3%
Free Throws Attempted
1726
Free Throws Made
1720
Free Throws %
100%76.9%
Offensive Rebounds
1413
Defensive Rebounds
3620
Total Rebounds
5033
Assists
279
Blocks
60
Turnovers
1411
Steals
59
Personal Fouls
2319

Highlights

Chances of winning


Illawarra Hawks
65.2%
South East Melbourne Phoenix
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.51)

    2.71
    (2.55)
    6.1%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 195.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • 3rd leg. Series tied 1-1.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Illawarra won 2.
    • Illawarra is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches South East Melbourne is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Illawarra will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Our prediction for today's Illawarra to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Illawarra won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1822:1852 (average 91.1:92.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Illawarra won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 937:910 (average 93.7:91).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:
    01.03.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks 101:94
    28.02.2025 Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix 101:94
    31.12.2024 Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix 105:110
    30.11.2024 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks 103:100
    26.10.2024 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks 82:88
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks (1)Bye
    3South East Melbourne (4)Bye
    4Sydney (5)Adelaide (6)88 : 95
    5Melbourne United (2)Bye
    8Perth (3)South East Melbourne (4)122 : 105

    Quarter-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks (1)Bye
    2South East Melbourne (4)Adelaide (6)85 : 75
    3Melbourne United (2)Bye
    4ByePerth (3)

    Semi-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks (1)South East Melbourne (4)2 : 1
    2Melbourne United (2)Perth (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Illawarra Hawks (1)Melbourne United (2)3 : 2