South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks
18/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN

Chances of winning


South East Melbourne Phoenix
49.4%
Illawarra Hawks
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Illawarra Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.01)

    1.88
    (1.76)
    5.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 186.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • South East Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, South East Melbourne has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1858:1866. (average 92.9:93.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South East Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 942:885. (average 94.2:88.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix 126:96
    01.03.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks 101:94
    28.02.2025 Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix 101:94
    31.12.2024 Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix 105:110
    30.11.2024 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks 103:100
    Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
    Australian NBL Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Melbourne United660602:4881.000
    2Adelaide541462:4220.800
    3Perth532426:4240.600
    4Tasmania JackJumpers743574:5780.571
    5South East Melbourne422355:3490.500
    6Sydney523437:4240.400
    7Cairns Taipans624453:5550.333
    8Brisbane Bullets725633:6530.286
    9New Zealand Breakers725610:6440.286
    10Illawarra Hawks413374:3890.250

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