Result
124:113 OT
08/01/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NBL - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 99 | 80 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 45.45% | 51.25% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 58.18% | 50.88% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 44 | 23 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 29.55% | 52.17% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 80.8% | 76% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 37 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
Chances of winning
South East Melbourne Phoenix
70.8% | Illawarra Hawks
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Illawarra Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.4) |
|
3.22 ↑
(2.75) |
6.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 189.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
What is the prediction for South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -5.5, OT - South East Melbourne (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): South East Melbourne Phoenix will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. South East Melbourne (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 99:91.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 2.
- South East Melbourne is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Illawarra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, South East Melbourne has had a series of away games.
- South East Melbourne could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that South East Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1892:1897. (average 94.6:94.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, South East Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 867:803. (average 96.3:89.2).
How many head-to-head matches has South East Melbourne Phoenix won against Illawarra Hawks?
South East Melbourne Phoenix has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Illawarra Hawks won against South East Melbourne Phoenix?
Illawarra Hawks has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks were as follows:
04.12.2025
Illawarra Hawks
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
113:109
18.10.2025
South East Melbourne Phoenix
-
Illawarra Hawks
116:76
05.03.2025
Illawarra Hawks
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
126:96
01.03.2025
South East Melbourne Phoenix
-
Illawarra Hawks
101:94
28.02.2025
Illawarra Hawks
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
101:94
Latest results of South East Melbourne Phoenix
Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
Draw
Ignite CupFinal| 1 | Adelaide | New Zealand Breakers | 107 : 111 |
