Illertissen vs Magdeburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
29/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.412.81
Ball Possession
26%74%
Total shots
722
Shots on target
110
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
58% (134/233)87% (607/698)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.412.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.022.59
Total shots
722
Shots on target
110
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
316
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
744
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
88
Passes
58% (134/233)87% (607/698)
Long passes
25% (13/51)59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
44% (27/61)73% (147/201)
Crosses
43% (3/7)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.85
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
88
Tackles
76% (19/25)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5246
Clearances
3012
Interceptions
1414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
2.590.02
Goals prevented
-0.410.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', Atik B. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Breunig M. , Nollenberger A. (A),
  • 31', Breunig M. (Pen),
  • 31', 0 - 2, Mathisen M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Atik B. , Pesch N. ,
  • 46', Pfaumann L. , Hausmann D. ,
  • 62', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
  • 62', Milic D. , Ruhle T. ,
  • 66', Nollenberger A. , Hercher P. ,
  • 71', Krempicki C. , Ulrich L. ,
  • 71', Musonda L. , Geschwill M. ,
  • 77', Heckmann E. , Embaye N. ,
  • 77', Hingerl M. , Fofanah M. ,
  • 82', Neuberger M. 🟨,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Pesch N. , Ghrieb R. (A),
  • 86', Ghrieb R. , Diawara K. ,
  • 86', Glessing Y. , Ekinci P. ,

Chances of winning


Illertissen
11.9%
Draw
17%
Magdeburg
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.5% 16.9% 71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8% 12.3% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-19%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magdeburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Illertissen - Magdeburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.6
    (8.2)
    5.86
    (5.6)
    1.35
    (1.32)
    2.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Illertissen - Magdeburg?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Illertissen will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Illertissen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Illertissen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Magdeburg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Magdeburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Magdeburg is the undeniable favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Illertissen
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    19.10.2025 Darmstadt - Magdeburg 0:0
    05.10.2025 Magdeburg - Elversberg 0:4
    27.09.2025 Karlsruher - Magdeburg 1:0
    20.09.2025 Magdeburg - Schalke 04 0:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2