Illertissen vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 penalties
16/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.803.72
Ball Possession
22%78%
Total shots
637
Shots on target
310
Big Chances
49
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
58% (145/252)89% (800/894)
Yellow Cards
72
Expected Goals (xG)
0.803.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.293.15
Total shots
637
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
314
Blocked Shots
013
Shots inside the Box
525
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
49
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
1064
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1625
Passes
58% (145/252)89% (800/894)
Long passes
21% (17/81)62% (34/55)
Passes in final third
42% (30/72)82% (260/319)
Crosses
17% (2/12)24% (12/51)
Expected assists (xA)
0.563.36
Throw-ins
1235
Fouls
2616
Tackles
65% (15/23)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5686
Clearances
658
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
3.152.29
Goals prevented
0.15-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Milic D. , Hausmann D. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 0, Glessing Y. , Hausmann D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Janisch T. , Jander C. ,
  • 46', Knoche R. , Stepanov A. ,
  • 53', Hingerl M. 🟨,
  • 64', Biron M. , Maboulou N. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Yilmaz B. , Jander C. (A),
  • 66', Milic D. , Ruhle T. ,
  • 77', Hausmann D. , Irigoyen C. ,
  • 77', Golz M. , Muth R. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Stepanov A. , Yilmaz B. (A),
  • 85', Ruhle T. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Telalovic S. (Pen),
  • 89', Hingerl M. , Gerstmayer D. ,
  • 90', 3 - 3, Ruhle T. , Cocic M. (A),
  • 90+1', Koudossou H. , Karafiat O. ,
  • 90+4', Zeller M. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 100', Embaye N. , Ekinci P. ,
  • 100', Maboulou N. 🟨,
  • 109', Glessing Y. 🟨,
  • 109', Telalovic S. 🟨,
  • 116', Witte M. 🟨,
  • 117', Neuberger M. 🟨,
  • 120', Heckmann E. 🟨,
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, Telalovic S. (Pen),
  • 1, Ruhle T. (Pen),
  • 2, Jander C. (Pen),
  • 2, Heckmann E. (Pen),
  • 3, Karafiat O. (Pen),
  • 3, Cocic M. (Pen),
  • 4, Lochoshvili L. (Pen),
  • 4, Gerstmayer D. (Pen),
  • 5, Lubach R. (Pen),
  • 5, Zeller M. (Pen),
  • 6, Gruber F. (Pen),
  • 6, Muth R. (Pen),
  • 7, Maboulou N. (Pen),
  • 7, Irigoyen C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Illertissen
12.7%
Draw
18.4%
Nürnberg
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.1% 18% 68.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illertissen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Illertissen - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.55
    (7.1)
    5.09
    (5.15)
    1.36
    (1.35)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Illertissen - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Illertissen will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Illertissen (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Illertissen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nürnberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nürnberg is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Illertissen
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2