Melilla vs Illescas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Melilla - Illescas
Result
1:0
23/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Fernandez I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Melilla
54.4%
Draw
27.6%
Illescas
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.6% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 26.6% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.
  • Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illescas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illescas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Melilla - Illescas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.17)
    3.24
    (3.28)
    5.19
    (2.94)
    10.1%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Melilla has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Illescas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Melilla is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melilla - Illescas were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Illescas - Melilla 1:3
    Latest results of Melilla
    16.03.2025 Conquense - Melilla 1:0
    09.03.2025 Melilla - Rayo Majadahonda 0:0
    02.03.2025 Unión Sur Yaiza - Melilla 1:0
    23.02.2025 Melilla - Real Madrid C 1:2
    16.02.2025 Unión Adarve - Melilla 1:0
    Latest results of Illescas
    16.03.2025 Illescas - Atlético Paso 2:1
    02.03.2025 Illescas - Móstoles URJC 0:3
    23.02.2025 Getafe B - Illescas 2:1
    16.02.2025 Illescas - Navalcarnero 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2