Melilla vs Illescas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Fernandez I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Melilla
54.4%
Draw
27.6%
Illescas
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.6% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 26.6% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.
  • Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illescas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illescas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Melilla - Illescas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.17)
    3.24
    (3.28)
    5.19
    (2.94)
    10.1%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Melilla has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Illescas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Melilla is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melilla - Illescas were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Illescas - Melilla 1:3
    Latest results of Melilla
    16.03.2025 Conquense - Melilla 1:0
    09.03.2025 Melilla - Rayo Majadahonda 0:0
    02.03.2025 Unión Sur Yaiza - Melilla 1:0
    23.02.2025 Melilla - Real Madrid C 1:2
    16.02.2025 Unión Adarve - Melilla 1:0
    Latest results of Illescas
    16.03.2025 Illescas - Atlético Paso 2:1
    02.03.2025 Illescas - Móstoles URJC 0:3
    23.02.2025 Getafe B - Illescas 2:1
    16.02.2025 Illescas - Navalcarnero 0:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:232970
    2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:272470
    3Conquense341612642:301260
    4Getafe B34169955:352057
    5CD Coria34169950:381257
    6RSD Alcala341491142:39351
    7Tenerife B341551457:53450
    8Orihuela3412101245:43246
    9CF Intercity3411101342:45-343
    10Navalcarnero3411101340:42-243
    11Las Palmas B341191442:45-342
    12Ilicitano3410111351:56-541
    13Real Madrid C341171642:45-340
    14Quintanar del Rey341161736:43-739
    15Fuenlabrada349101535:44-937
    16Colonia M34971837:57-2034
    17Socuellamos347101734:55-2131
    18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:63-3330

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