Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Fizesan M. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, Fizesan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Tarancón
59.9% | Draw
25.8% | Illescas
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarancón's form might have worsened.Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarancón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Tarancón - Illescas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.38) |
3.54 ↓
(4) |
6.37 ↓
(7.85) |
9.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 1.
- Tarancón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Illescas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tarancón is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tarancón won against Illescas?
Tarancón has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Illescas won against Tarancón?
Illescas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tarancón - Illescas were as follows:
11.10.2025
Illescas
-
Tarancón
0:2
04.02.2023
Tarancón
-
Illescas
1:1
02.10.2022
Illescas
-
Tarancón
1:1
Latest results of Tarancón
Latest results of Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toledo | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 55:14 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Puertollano C.F | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 68 |
| 3 | Tarancon | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 56:25 | 31 | 67 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 46:16 | 30 | 60 |
| 5 | Ciudad Real | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:27 | 25 | 60 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 41:33 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | San Clemente | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 47 |
| 8 | Villacanas | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 | Huracan de Balazote | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 33:41 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 | Guadalajara B | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 | Marchamalo | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Illescas | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 35 |
| 14 | La Solana | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Pedroneras | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Azuqueca | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 28:39 | -11 | 28 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 25:69 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 32 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 15:60 | -45 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
