Illiabum vs Madeira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Portuguese Proliga Basketball Illiabum - Madeira
Result
69:80
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Proliga - Winners stage - Round 14

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6767
Field Goals Made
2530
Field Goals %
37.3%44.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4941
2-Point Field Goals Made
2325
2-Point Field Goals %
46.9%61%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1826
3-Point Field Goals Made
25
3-Point Field Goals %
11.1%19.2%
Free Throws Attempted
2318
Free Throws Made
1715
Free Throws %
73.9%83.3%
Offensive Rebounds
179
Defensive Rebounds
2827
Total Rebounds
4536
Assists
1517
Blocks
11
Turnovers
2116
Steals
1011
Personal Fouls
1817

Chances of winning


Illiabum
44.6%
Madeira
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illiabum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illiabum's form might have worsened.
  • Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madeira's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illiabum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Illiabum - Madeira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.57)

    1.66
    (2.15)
    8.8%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 145.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illiabum won 2.
    • Illiabum has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Madeira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Illiabum won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1277:1341. (average 75.1:78.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Illiabum won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 613:656. (average 76.6:82).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illiabum - Madeira were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Madeira - Illiabum 65:61
    21.03.2024 Madeira - Illiabum 79:77
    24.02.2024 Illiabum - Madeira 84:80
    Latest results of Illiabum
    26.04.2025 Alianca Sangalhos - Illiabum 85:65
    19.04.2025 Illiabum - CB Queluz 81:74
    05.04.2025 Braga - Illiabum 76:82
    29.03.2025 Illiabum - Portimonense 80:70
    Latest results of Madeira
    26.04.2025 Madeira - Portimonense 94:88
    19.04.2025 Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira 63:81
    05.04.2025 Madeira - Vasco Da Gama Porto 98:85
    29.03.2025 CB Queluz - Madeira 78:70
    22.03.2025 Madeira - Imortal B 79:64
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vasco Da Gama (2)CAB Madeira (3)2 : 1
    2Braga (1)CB Queluz (4)1 : 2

    Final
    1Vasco Da Gama (2)CB Queluz (4)2 : 1