Michigan State Spartans vs Illinois Fighting Illini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
69:71
05/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA Women

Chances of winning


Michigan State Spartans
67.1%
Illinois Fighting Illini
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michigan State Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Illinois Fighting Illini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.37)

    2.82
    (2.89)
    7.7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 149.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Illinois may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Michigan State is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 167:143. (average 83.5:71.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Michigan State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 81:75.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini 81:75
    19.01.2025 Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans 68:86
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/64-finals
    1UConn WBye
    2ByeUTSA Roadrunners W
    3Iowa State WBye
    4ByeSyracuse W
    5Maryland WBye
    6ByeMurray State W
    7North Carolina WBye
    8ByeWestern Illinois W
    9Notre Dame WBye
    10ByeFairfield W
    11Ohio State WBye
    12ByeHoward W
    13Illinois Fighting Illini WBye
    14ByeColorado Buffaloes W
    15Vanderbilt WBye
    16ByeHigh Point W
    17South Carolina WBye
    18Southern Jaguars WSamford Bulldogs W65 : 53
    19Clemson WBye
    20ByeUSC Trojans W
    21Michigan State WBye
    22ByeColorado State W
    23Oklahoma Sooners WBye
    24ByeIdaho Vandals W
    25Washington WBye
    26ByeSouth Dakota State Jackrabbits W
    27TCU WBye
    28ByeUC San Diego Tritons W
    29Georgia WBye
    30Virginia Cavaliers WArizona State W57 : 55
    31Iowa Hawkeyes WBye
    32ByeFairleigh Dickinson W
    33UCLA WBye
    34ByeCalifornia Baptist W
    35Oklahoma State WBye
    36ByePrinceton W
    37Ole Miss WBye
    38ByeGonzaga W
    39Minnesota WBye
    40ByeWisc. Green Bay W
    41Baylor WBye
    42Nebraska Cornhuskers WRichmond Spiders W75 : 56
    43Duke WBye
    44ByeCharleston W
    45Texas Tech WBye
    46ByeVillanova W
    47LSU Tigers WBye
    48ByeJacksonville Dolphins W
    49Texas Longhorns WBye
    50Missouri State WStephen F. Austin W85 : 75
    51Oregon WBye
    52ByeVirginia Tech W
    53Kentucky WBye
    54ByeJames Madison W
    55West Virginia WBye
    56ByeMiami (Ohio) W
    57Alabama WBye
    58ByeRhode Island W
    59Louisville WBye
    60ByeVermont W
    61NC State WBye
    62ByeTennessee Volunteers W
    63Michigan Wolverines WBye
    64ByeHoly Cross W

    1/32-finals
    1UConn WUTSA Roadrunners W90 : 52
    2Iowa State WSyracuse W63 : 72
    3Maryland WMurray State W99 : 67
    4North Carolina WWestern Illinois W82 : 51
    5Notre Dame WFairfield W79 : 60
    6Ohio State WHoward W75 : 54
    7Illinois Fighting Illini WColorado Buffaloes W66 : 57
    8Vanderbilt WHigh Point W102 : 61
    9South Carolina WSouthern Jaguars W103 : 34
    10Clemson WUSC Trojans W67 : 71
    11Michigan State WColorado State W65 : 62
    12Oklahoma Sooners WIdaho Vandals W89 : 59
    13Washington WSouth Dakota State Jackrabbits W72 : 54
    14TCU WUC San Diego Tritons W86 : 40
    15Georgia WVirginia Cavaliers W73 : 82
    16Iowa Hawkeyes WFairleigh Dickinson W58 : 48
    17UCLA WCalifornia Baptist W96 : 43
    18Oklahoma State WPrinceton W82 : 68
    19Ole Miss WGonzaga W81 : 66
    20Minnesota WWisc. Green Bay W75 : 58
    21Baylor WNebraska Cornhuskers W67 : 62
    22Duke WCharleston W81 : 64
    23Texas Tech WVillanova W57 : 52
    24LSU Tigers WJacksonville Dolphins W116 : 58
    25Texas Longhorns WMissouri State W87 : 45
    26Oregon WVirginia Tech W70 : 60
    27Kentucky WJames Madison W71 : 56
    28West Virginia WMiami (Ohio) W82 : 54
    29Alabama WRhode Island W68 : 55
    30Louisville WVermont W72 : 52
    31NC State WTennessee Volunteers W76 : 61
    32Michigan Wolverines WHoly Cross W83 : 48

    1/16-finals
    1UConn WSyracuse W98 : 45
    2Maryland WNorth Carolina W66 : 74
    3Notre Dame WOhio State W83 : 73
    4Illinois Fighting Illini WVanderbilt W57 : 75
    5South Carolina WUSC Trojans W101 : 61
    6Michigan State WOklahoma Sooners W71 : 77
    7Washington WTCU W59 : 62
    8Virginia Cavaliers WIowa Hawkeyes W83 : 75
    9UCLA WOklahoma State W87 : 68
    10Ole Miss WMinnesota W63 : 65
    11Baylor WDuke W46 : 69
    12Texas Tech WLSU Tigers W47 : 101
    13Texas Longhorns WOregon W100 : 58
    14Kentucky WWest Virginia W74 : 73
    15Alabama WLouisville W68 : 69
    16NC State WMichigan Wolverines W63 : 92

    1/8-finals
    1UConn WNorth Carolina W63 : 42
    2Notre Dame WVanderbilt W67 : 64
    3South Carolina WOklahoma Sooners W94 : 68
    4TCU WVirginia Cavaliers W79 : 69
    5UCLA WMinnesota W80 : 56
    6Duke WLSU Tigers W87 : 85
    7Texas Longhorns WKentucky W76 : 54
    8Louisville WMichigan Wolverines W52 : 71

    Quarter-finals
    1UConn WNotre Dame W70 : 52
    2South Carolina WTCU W78 : 52
    3UCLA WDuke W70 : 58
    4Texas Longhorns WMichigan Wolverines W77 : 41

    Semi-finals
    1UConn WSouth Carolina W48 : 62
    2UCLA WTexas Longhorns W51 : 44

    Final
    1South Carolina WUCLA W51 : 79