Illueca vs Calamocha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17 Illueca - Calamocha
Result
1:1
26/11/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 12

Chances of winning


Illueca
40.9%
Draw
30%
Calamocha
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 30.6% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 30.3% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illueca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illueca's performance.
  • Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illueca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Illueca - Calamocha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.53)
    3
    (2.93)
    3.1
    (2.63)
    10.9%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Illueca won 3.
    • Illueca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Calamocha is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Calamocha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Illueca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Illueca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illueca - Calamocha were as follows:
    29.01.2023 Calamocha - Illueca 0:1
    02.10.2022 Illueca - Calamocha 0:0
    Latest results of Illueca
    19.11.2023 Épila - Illueca 3:0
    11.11.2023 Illueca - Caspe 0:2
    04.11.2023 Belchite - Illueca 1:1
    28.10.2023 Illueca - Fraga 1:2
    21.10.2023 Ebro - Illueca 1:0
    Latest results of Calamocha
    19.11.2023 Calamocha - Ejea 2:0
    12.11.2023 Cariñena - Calamocha 3:2
    05.11.2023 Calamocha - Cuarte 0:2
    29.10.2023 Binéfar - Calamocha 0:1
    15.10.2023 Calamocha - Huesca B 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2