Illya Marchenko vs Alex Bolt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Guangzhou Challenger Men Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt
Result
1:2
29/04/2024 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou (China), hard - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Wang X. (Chn)

Match Stats

Aces
915
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
61%63%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (35/46)78% (43/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (16/30)58% (19/33)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
24% (13/55)26% (12/46)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (14/33)50% (15/30)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)27% (3/11)
Max Points In Row
57
Service Points Won
64% (49/76)70% (61/87)
Return Points Won
30% (26/87)36% (27/76)
Total Points Won
46% (75/163)54% (88/163)
Max Games In Row
35
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)93% (13/14)
Return Games Won
7% (1/14)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
41% (11/27)59% (16/27)

Chances of winning


Illya Marchenko
47.5%
Alex Bolt
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illya Marchenko's form might have worsened.
  • Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Bolt's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Bolt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.72)

    1.78
    (2.07)
    6.9%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bolt will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Bolt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt were as follows:
    08.04.2024 Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt 2:0
    Latest results of Illya Marchenko
    Latest results of Alex Bolt
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Ilagan A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Sun F. (Alt)Kachmazov A.0 : 2
    3Jasika O.Langmo C. (Q)2 : 0
    4Samrej K. (LL)McCabe J. (7)1 : 2
    5Schoolkate T. (3)Peniston R. (Q)2 : 1
    6Bolt A.Shimabukuro S.1 : 2
    7Bouzige M. (Q)Roh H.2 : 0
    8Chen C. (WC)Grenier H. (6)0 : 2
    9Tu L. (5)Watanuki Y.1 : 2
    10Mo Y. C. (Q)Simakin I. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Rosenkranz M. (Q)Sharipov M.1 : 2
    12Te R. (WC)Atmane T. (4)1 : 2
    13Lestienne C. (8)Hsu Y. H.0 : 2
    14Escoffier A.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    15Zhou Y. (WC)Cui J. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Noguchi R.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Kachmazov A.1 : 2
    2Jasika O.McCabe J. (7)1 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (3)Shimabukuro S. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Bouzige M.Grenier H. (6)0 : 2
    5Watanuki Y.Simakin I.0 : 2
    6Sharipov M.Atmane T. (4)0 : 2
    7Hsu Y. H.Escoffier A.2 : 1
    8Cui J.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kachmazov A.McCabe J. (7)2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T. (3)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    3Simakin I.Atmane T. (4)1 : 2
    4Hsu Y. H.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kachmazov A.Schoolkate T. (3)1 : 2
    2Atmane T. (4)Holt B. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Schoolkate T. (3)Atmane T. (4)0 : 2