Illya Marchenko vs Lukas Neumayer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bratislava Challenger Men Illya Marchenko - Lukas Neumayer
Result
1:2
11/06/2024 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava (Slovakia), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: El Jennati M. (Mar)

Match Stats

Aces
97
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
56%60%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (49/59)72% (58/81)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (25/47)58% (32/55)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)80% (12/15)
1st Return Points Won
36% (29/81)20% (12/59)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (23/55)47% (22/47)
Break Points Converted
20% (3/15)67% (2/3)
Max Points In Row
58
Service Points Won
70% (74/105)66% (87/132)
Return Points Won
34% (45/132)30% (31/105)
Total Points Won
50% (119/237)50% (118/237)
Max Games In Row
42
Service Games Won
88% (15/17)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)12% (2/17)
Total Games Won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)

Chances of winning


Illya Marchenko
29.9%
Lukas Neumayer
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illya Marchenko's form might have worsened.
  • Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Illya Marchenko - Lukas Neumayer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.1)

    1.33
    (1.66)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Illya Marchenko - Lukas Neumayer?
  • Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marchenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Neumayer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Neumayer will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Illya Marchenko
    Latest results of Lukas Neumayer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shevchenko A. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Choinski J.Kovalik J.2 : 0
    3Barton H. (Q)Cina F. (NG)0 : 2
    4Martin A. (Alt)Nava E. (6)0 : 2
    5Royer V. (4)Prihodko O. (LL)2 : 1
    6Vacherot V.Molcan A. (WC)2 : 1
    7Gengel M.Mena F.0 : 2
    8Topo M. (Q)Gombos N. (Q)2 : 1
    9Garin C. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    10Mikrut L.Jianu F. C.1 : 2
    11Pokorny L. (WC)Kodat T. (Q)1 : 2
    12Dodig M. (Q)Faria J. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    13Klein L. (8)Karol M. (WC)0 : 2
    14Prizmic D.Rodionov J.2 : 0
    15Michalski D. (Q)Rocha H.0 : 2
    16Vatutin A.Barrios Vera T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Shevchenko A. (1)Choinski J.2 : 0
    2Cina F.Nava E. (6)2 : 0
    3Royer V. (4)Vacherot V.2 : 1
    4Mena F.Topo M.0 : 2
    5Garin C. (5)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    6Kodat T.Dodig M.0 : 2
    7Karol M.Prizmic D.0 : 2
    8Rocha H.Barrios Vera T. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Shevchenko A. (1)Cina F.2 : 0
    2Royer V. (4)Topo M.2 : 1
    3Garin C. (5)Dodig M.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D.Rocha H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shevchenko A. (1)Royer V. (4)1 : 2
    2Garin C. (5)Prizmic D.0 : 2

    Final
    1Royer V. (4)Prizmic D.0 : 2