Illya Marchenko vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Shenzhen 3 Challenger Men Illya Marchenko - Mattia Bellucci
Result
0:2
23/04/2024 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 3 (China), hard - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Yan B. (Chn)

Match Stats

Aces
49
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
60%44%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (29/37)79% (19/24)
2nd Serve Points Won
24% (6/25)61% (19/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
21% (5/24)22% (8/37)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (12/31)76% (19/25)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)50% (3/6)
Max Points In Row
56
Service Points Won
56% (35/62)69% (38/55)
Return Points Won
31% (17/55)44% (27/62)
Total Points Won
44% (52/117)56% (65/117)
Max Games In Row
23
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Illya Marchenko
42.7%
Mattia Bellucci
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illya Marchenko's form might have worsened.
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Illya Marchenko - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.84)

    1.64
    (1.84)
    6.5%
    (8.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Illya Marchenko
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Te R. (WC)2 : 0
    2Saville L. (Alt)Escoffier A.0 : 2
    3Marie J.Sun F. (WC)2 : 1
    4Marchenko I.Bellucci M. (5)0 : 2
    5Uchiyama Y. (RET.) (3)Schoolkate T.0 : 1
    6Noguchi R. (Q)Bolt A.1 : 2
    7Bertola R. (Q)Shimizu Y.2 : 0
    8Trotter J. K. (Q)Wong C. (8)0 : 2
    9Moriya H. (LL)Kachmazov A. (Alt)0 : 2
    10McCabe J. (Q)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1
    11Hsu Y. H.Zhou Y. (WC)2 : 1
    12Sweeny D.Harris L. (4)0 : 2
    13Yevseyev D. (6)Celikbilek A. (Q)2 : 1
    14Sekulic P. (Alt)Cina F.2 : 1
    15Fery A.Berankis R. (Q)2 : 1
    16Lajal M.Tu L. (9)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Escoffier A.2 : 0
    2Marie J.Bellucci M. (5)0 : 2
    3Schoolkate T.Bolt A.2 : 0
    4Bertola R.Wong C. (8)2 : 0
    5Kachmazov A.McCabe J.2 : 0
    6Hsu Y. H.Harris L. (4)0 : 2
    7Yevseyev D. (6)Sekulic P.2 : 0
    8Fery A.Lajal M.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Bellucci M. (5)2 : 1
    2Schoolkate T.Bertola R.0 : 2
    3Kachmazov A.Harris L. (4)1 : 2
    4Yevseyev D. (6)Lajal M.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Bertola R.2 : 0
    2Harris L. (4)Lajal M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Duckworth J. (1)Harris L. (4)0 : 2