Illya Marchenko vs Sho Shimabukuro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Winnipeg Challenger Men Illya Marchenko - Sho Shimabukuro
Result
0:2
09/07/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg (Canada), hard - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Lewkowicz P. (Can)

Match Stats

Aces
09
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
53%49%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)83% (25/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (12/26)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/4)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
17% (5/30)48% (14/29)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)54% (14/26)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)100% (4/4)
Max Points In Row
49
Service Points Won
49% (27/55)67% (41/61)
Return Points Won
33% (20/61)51% (28/55)
Total Points Won
41% (47/116)59% (69/116)
Max Games In Row
25
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
32% (6/19)68% (13/19)

Chances of winning


Illya Marchenko
41.2%
Sho Shimabukuro
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 52.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Illya Marchenko - Sho Shimabukuro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.02)

    1.58
    (1.71)
    7%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Illya Marchenko - Sho Shimabukuro?
  • Users Predictions: Sho Shimabukuro will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Shimabukuro will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Illya Marchenko
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Tudorica A. N. (Q)2 : 0
    2Nakagawa N.Sakamoto R.1 : 2
    3Bouzige M.Gengel M.2 : 0
    4Sell K.Shimizu Y. (5)1 : 2
    5Shimabukuro S. (3)Langmo C.2 : 0
    6Johns G.Chung H. (Q)2 : 1
    7Riedi L. (Q)Jubb P.1 : 2
    8Boulais J. (WC)Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    9Mejia N. (8)Andrade A.1 : 2
    10Glinka D. (Q)Imamura M.0 : 2
    11Zhou Y.Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1
    12Martin A.Galarneau A. (4)2 : 0
    13Noguchi R. (6)Ilagan A.2 : 1
    14Aguilar J. C. M. (WC)Arseneault N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Miyoshi K.Sekulic P. (PR)2 : 0
    16Moriya H. (Q)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Sakamoto R.2 : 0
    2Bouzige M.Shimizu Y. (5)0 : 2
    3Shimabukuro S. (3)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Jubb P.Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    5Andrade A.Imamura M.2 : 0
    6Zhou Y.Martin A.2 : 0
    7Noguchi R. (6)Arseneault N.2 : 0
    8Miyoshi K.Draxl L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Shimizu Y. (5)2 : 0
    2Shimabukuro S. (3)Hsu Y. H. (7)2 : 1
    3Andrade A.Zhou Y.0 : 2
    4Noguchi R. (6)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Shimabukuro S. (3)2 : 1
    2Zhou Y.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Blockx A. (1)Draxl L. (2)1 : 2