Ilves U20 vs KalPa U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:5
10/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SM-sarja U20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:04, 1 - 0, Kuitunen O. (G), Melanen J. (A), Laitinen J. (A2)
  • 08:56, 1 - 1, Niskanen M. (G), Saari O. (A),
  • 14:45, 1 - 2, Vetelainen T. (G), Kekarainen S. (A), Sundgren M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:43, 1 - 3, Vetelainen T. (G), Halonen A. (A), Sundgren M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (6 - 2)
  • 04:33, 2 - 3, Rinne R. (G), Laitinen J. (A), Melanen J. (A2)
  • 09:11, 3 - 3, Tukio O. (G), Frolo J. (A), Kuitunen O. (A2)
  • 11:24, 4 - 3, Niskanen A. (G), Laitinen J. (A), Kuukasjarvi R. (A2)
  • 11:41, 5 - 3, Harkimo D. (G), Pelkonen L. (A), Kuitunen O. (A2)
  • 13:38, 6 - 3, Rinne R. (G), Laitinen J. (A), Melanen J. (A2)
  • 14:58, 6 - 4, Pakarinen R. (G),
  • 18:04, 6 - 5, Miilunpohja R. (G), Linna A. (A), Timofejev D. (A2)
  • 19:21, 7 - 5, Koponen A. (G), Liljeberg M. (A), Poikela M. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ilves U20
70.1%
Draw
15.8%
KalPa U20
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 17.2% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 19% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • KalPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves U20 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Ilves U20 - KalPa U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.38)
    5.76
    (5.34)
    6.43
    (5.65)
    10%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 2.
    • Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
    • In this match, Ilves U20 is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 45:59. (average 2.6:3.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 2.8:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves U20 - KalPa U20 were as follows:
    25.10.2025 KalPa U20 - Ilves U20 1:5
    15.11.2024 Ilves U20 - KalPa U20 4:2
    19.10.2024 KalPa U20 - Ilves U20 4:2
    06.01.2024 KalPa U20 - Ilves U20 5:2
    17.09.2023 Ilves U20 - KalPa U20 1:2
    Latest results of Ilves U20
    04.01.2026 RoKi U20 - Ilves U20 4:5
    03.01.2026 RoKi U20 - Ilves U20 3:6
    20.12.2025 Ilves U20 - RoKi U20 4:0
    13.12.2025 Ilves U20 - SaiPa U20 4:1
    12.12.2025 Ilves U20 - Pelicans U20 4:3
    Latest results of KalPa U20
    04.01.2026 KalPa U20 - HPK U20 4:3
    03.01.2026 KooKoo U20 - KalPa U20 0:2
    19.12.2025 Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20 2:3
    13.12.2025 Jokerit U20 - KalPa U20 1:2
    Finnish SM-sarja U20 Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ilves U20 ✔ 4026545177:9192
    2Pelicans Lahti U20 ✔ 3923529139:8581
    3Assat U2040213313128:9672
    4Jyvaskyla U2041195413121:11371
    5Jukurit U2040184414121:11366
    6Kiekko-Espoo U2039174513126:10264
    7Tappara U2039164613121:11462
    8Hameenlinna U2040172615129:11761
    9TPS U2041173417104:10761
    10Karpat U2040173317113:12660
    11KooKoo U2039128415102:10456
    12KalPa U2040145318149:14955
    13IFK Helsinki U2039152517118:12354
    14Jokerit U2039135417114:12553
    15Vaasan Sport U2039127218111:13152
    16Lukko U203914232091:11449
    17SaiPa U203983622104:17536
    18RoKi U20395242891:17423

          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          SM~sarja U20 (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ilves U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pelicans Lahti U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)