Kärpät U20 vs Ilves U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:6
22/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SM-sarja U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 1)
  • 00:42, 0 - 1, Heikkinen I. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A), Kuukasjarvi R. (A2)
  • 01:42, 1 - 1, Kylmala O. (G), Jurvelin L. (A), Karassaari J. (A2)
  • 12:28, 2 - 1, Jung S. (G), Salovaara E. (A), Viuhkola N. (A2)
  • 15:00, 3 - 1, Ruotsalainen V. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 00:55, 3 - 2, Pelkonen L. (G), Soini S. (A), Laurell E. (A2)
  • 12:29, 3 - 3, Heikkinen I. (G), Soini S. (A), Liljeberg M. (A2)
  • 17:11, 3 - 4, Laitinen J. (G), Kuitunen O. (A), Heikkinen I. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 08:16, 3 - 5, Laurell E. (G), Pelkonen L. (A), Karjalainen P. (A2)
  • 18:03, 3 - 6, Heikkinen I. (G),

Chances of winning


Kärpät U20
23.7%
Draw
20.2%
Ilves U20
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 19.8% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 21.6% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.82
    (4.12)
    4.5
    (4.64)
    1.62
    (1.59)
    10.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • Ilves Tampere leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 1.
    • In recent matches, Kärpät U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ilves U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Kärpät U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ilves U20 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ilves U20 is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:60. (average 3.3:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 3:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20 were as follows:
    21.03.2026 Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 2:3
    19.03.2026 Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20 2:7
    17.03.2026 Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 5:4
    23.01.2026 Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 4:3
    01.11.2025 Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20 0:3
    Latest results of Kärpät U20
    Latest results of Ilves U20
    21.03.2026 Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 2:3
    19.03.2026 Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20 2:7
    17.03.2026 Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 5:4
    06.03.2026 Ilves U20 - JYP U20 4:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1RoKi U20TUTO U20