Ilves U20 vs Kärpät U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 OT
23/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SM-sarja U20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 18:41, 1 - 0, Laurell E. (G), Karttu K. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:20, 2 - 0, Laurell E. (G), Kuitunen O. (A), Frolo J. (A2)
  • 06:24, 2 - 1, Tynkila A. (G), Pinola E. (A),
  • 11:41, 2 - 2, Karassaari J. (G), Vierimaa W. (A), Kylmala O. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:47, 3 - 2, Myllyniemi M. (G), Karjalainen P. (A), Frolo J. (A2)
  • 18:13, 3 - 3, Jurvelin L. (G), Martinmaki K. (A),
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 01:42, 4 - 3, Frolo J. (G), Myllyniemi M. (A), Niskanen A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ilves U20
62.8%
Draw
18.8%
Kärpät U20
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 18.3% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 20.2% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.41)
    4.74
    (5.03)
    4.85
    (5.54)
    12.2%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 5.
    • Ilves U20 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kärpät U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ilves U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ilves U20 has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ilves U20 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 42:50. (average 2.8:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 2.6:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20 0:3
    31.10.2025 Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20 2:9
    03.10.2025 Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 5:2
    01.02.2025 Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 2:1
    06.09.2024 Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20 3:4
    Latest results of Ilves U20
    17.01.2026 HIFK U20 - Ilves U20 2:3
    16.01.2026 Tappara U20 - Ilves U20 1:6
    10.01.2026 Ilves U20 - KalPa U20 7:5
    04.01.2026 RoKi U20 - Ilves U20 4:5
    03.01.2026 RoKi U20 - Ilves U20 3:6
    Latest results of Kärpät U20
    16.01.2026 RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20 2:7
    10.01.2026 Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20 5:2
    09.01.2026 Kärpät U20 - JYP U20 2:3
    04.01.2026 Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20 5:0
    03.01.2026 TPS U20 - Kärpät U20 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves U20 (1)Bye
    2Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5)KalPa U20 (12)1 : 0
    3Assat U20 (3)Bye
    4Hameenlinna U20 (8)TPS U20 (9)2 : 0
    5Pelicans Lahti U20 (2)Bye
    6Jukurit U20 (7)Karpat U20 (10)0 : 1
    7Jyvaskyla U20 (4)Bye
    8Tappara U20 (6)IFK Helsinki U20 (11)0 : 1