Result
3:4 penalties
05/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 3.17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (3/21) | 12% (3/25) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88% (22/25) | 85.71% (18/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.14 | 42.86 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 01:53, 1 - 0, Lipiainen V. (G), Juhola P. (A), Talaja R. (A2)
- 12:14, 1 - 1, Torok M. (G), Ratinen S. (A), Soini S. (A2)
- 13:28, 2 - 1, Nyman L. (G), Tiivola P. (A), Heinila E. (A2)
- 13:39, 2 - 2, Mantykivi M. (G), Henman L. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:21, Nilsson O. (2 min),
- 13:45, Parikka J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:00, Pelli A. (2 min),
- 12:03, Borg E. (2 min),
- 14:52, Nilsson O. (2 min),
- 15:30, 2 - 3, Johansson S. (G), Henman L. (A),
- 18:57, 3 - 3, Lipiainen V. (G), Martel D. (A), Juhola P. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Svejkovsky L. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Noiva N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Torok M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Boelius L. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Jasek L. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Nyman L. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Ässät
40.4% | Draw
24.3% | Ilves
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ässät - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.16) |
3.78 ↑
(3.6) |
2.65 ↓
(2.87) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ässät - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ässät (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ässät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 42:51. (average 2.1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.7:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Ilves?
Ässät has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Ässät?
Ilves has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Ilves were as follows:
26.09.2025
Ilves
-
Ässät
2:3
04.01.2025
Ässät
-
Ilves
2:1
03.01.2025
Ilves
-
Ässät
3:1
06.10.2024
Ilves
-
Ässät
1:2
02.10.2024
Ässät
-
Ilves
3:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
