Result
2:1
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Referee: Brannare A. (Fin)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.49 | 2.75 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 4.35% (1/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.65% (22/23) | 92% (23/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 60.34 | 39.66 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 02:04, Nyberg J. (2 min),
- 05:55, Jarvinen J. (2 min),
- 05:55, Borg E. (2 min),
- 19:23, 1 - 0, Vanhatalo L. (G), Maatta R. (A), Kucerik R. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:29, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 08:40, Lipiainen V. (2 min),
- 12:31, Ratinen S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:28, 2 - 0, Vanhatalo L. (G),
- 05:13, 2 - 1, Vaisanen K. (G),
- 06:51, Friman N. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ässät
40.3% | Draw
24% | Ilves
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Ässät - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.32) |
3.9 ↑
(3.77) |
2.64 ↓
(2.65) |
6.5%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ässät won 3.
- Ässät is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Ilves is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ilves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ässät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 41:55 (average 2.1:2.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ässät won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:22 (average 2.7:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Ilves?
Ässät has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Ässät?
Ilves has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Ilves were as follows:
03.01.2025
Ilves
-
Ässät
3:1
06.10.2024
Ilves
-
Ässät
1:2
02.10.2024
Ässät
-
Ilves
3:0
27.02.2024
Ilves
-
Ässät
4:3
21.12.2023
Ilves
-
Ässät
1:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
