Result
5:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.34 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.71% (5/34) | 6.67% (1/15) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.33% (14/15) | 85.29% (29/34) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 53.57 | 46.43 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 06:32, 0 - 1, Jarvinen J. (G), Viljanen V. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
- 08:51, 1 - 1, Torok M. (G), Nyberg J. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
- 13:00, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 14:48, Vanhatalo L. (2 min),
- 14:48, Torok M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 03:23, 2 - 1, Nattinen J. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A), Svejkovsky L. (A2)
- 04:17, 3 - 1, Engberg T. (G), Johansson S. (A), Borg E. (A2)
- 16:51, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:53, 4 - 1, Looke J. (G), Jasek L. (A), Henman L. (A2)
- 11:33, 5 - 1, Klingberg C. (G), Henman L. (A), Latvala O. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ilves
63.3% | Draw
19% | Ässät
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Ilves - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.57) |
4.88 ↑
(4.57) |
5.45 ↑
(4.58) |
7.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ilves is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 47:42. (average 2.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 2.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Ässät?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Ilves?
Ässät has won 10 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Ässät were as follows:
16.01.2026
Ässät
-
Ilves
2:1
05.12.2025
Ässät
-
Ilves
3:4
26.09.2025
Ilves
-
Ässät
2:3
04.01.2025
Ässät
-
Ilves
2:1
03.01.2025
Ilves
-
Ässät
3:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
