Result
2:3
26/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 5.25 | 1.45 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 44 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.55% (2/44) | 20% (3/15) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 42 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 95.45% (42/44) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 29 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.73 | 52.27 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 09:21, Nilsson O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 03:26, (2 min),
- 06:45, 1 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Looke J. (A),
- 09:14, Johansson S. (2 min),
- 10:23, 1 - 1, Fabre D. (G), Tiivola P. (A), Martel D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 00:14, Olofsson J. (5 min),
- 05:29, 1 - 2, Noiva N. (G), Fabre D. (A), Sebok B. (A2)
- 05:29, (2 min),
- 06:18, 1 - 3, Puutio K. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Lipiainen V. (A2)
- 19:26, 2 - 3, Borg E. (G), Pelli A. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ilves
51.2% | Draw
22.9% | Ässät
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Ilves - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.83) |
4.16 ↑
(3.76) |
3.68 ↓
(3.72) |
6.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ilves - Ässät?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- Ilves has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ässät is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ilves is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 52:41. (average 2.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 2.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Ässät?
Ilves has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Ilves?
Ässät has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Ässät were as follows:
04.01.2025
Ässät
-
Ilves
2:1
03.01.2025
Ilves
-
Ässät
3:1
06.10.2024
Ilves
-
Ässät
1:2
02.10.2024
Ässät
-
Ilves
3:0
27.02.2024
Ilves
-
Ässät
4:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
