Result
26/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ilves
49.7% | Draw
23.7% | Ässät
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Ilves - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.83) |
3.95 ↑
(3.76) |
3.51 ↓
(3.72) |
6.3%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ässät is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 52:41. (average 2.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 2.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Ässät?
Ilves has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Ilves?
Ässät has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Ässät were as follows:
04.01.2025
Ässät
-
Ilves
2:1
03.01.2025
Ilves
-
Ässät
3:1
06.10.2024
Ilves
-
Ässät
1:2
02.10.2024
Ässät
-
Ilves
3:0
27.02.2024
Ilves
-
Ässät
4:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
