Result
09/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+ |
Chances of winning
HIFK
32.9% | Draw
23.3% | Ilves
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HIFK - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.4) |
3.97 ↓
(4.18) |
2.13 ↓
(2.4) |
7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 3.
- HIFK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ilves is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ilves is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 42:56. (average 2.1:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 2.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Ilves?
HIFK has won 6 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HIFK?
Ilves has won 12 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Ilves were as follows:
11.10.2025
HIFK
-
Ilves
6:1
10.10.2025
Ilves
-
HIFK
3:0
09.08.2025
HIFK
-
Ilves
3:2
18.01.2025
HIFK
-
Ilves
1:3
17.01.2025
Ilves
-
HIFK
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
