Result
6:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 2.45 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 22.22% (6/27) | 5.56% (1/18) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.44% (17/18) | 77.78% (21/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 60% (3/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.6 | 43.4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 08:40, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 10:15, Hartikainen S. (2 min),
- 13:02, 1 - 0, Kiviharju A. (G), Rajaniemi M. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
- 13:02, (2 min),
- 14:26, 2 - 0, Makiaho D. (G), Somervuori J. (A), Kiviharju A. (A2)
- 16:58, Kucerik R. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 03:24, 3 - 0, Kodytek P. (G), Makiaho D. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
- 06:49, 4 - 0, Marleau V. (G), Nykyri N. (A),
- 06:49, Pavlat D. ↓, Taponen R. ↑,
- 08:11, 5 - 0, Makiaho D. (G), Kiviharju A. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
- 18:23, Palola O. (2 min),
- 18:44, Borg E. (2 min),
- 19:14, 6 - 0, Kodytek P. (G), Sund T. (A), Palmu P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:27, Karjalainen A. (2 min),
- 19:26, 6 - 1, Hermonen J. (G), Looke J. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
Chances of winning
HIFK
23.3% | Draw
21.8% | Ilves
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
HIFK - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(3.35) |
4.33 ↑
(4.3) |
1.71 ↓
(1.81) |
6.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for HIFK - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. HIFK (votes: 1 - 50%). Ilves (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.
- HIFK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ilves has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, HIFK has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 41:57. (average 2.1:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 2.7:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Ilves?
HIFK has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HIFK?
Ilves has won 12 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Ilves were as follows:
10.10.2025
Ilves
-
HIFK
3:0
09.08.2025
HIFK
-
Ilves
3:2
18.01.2025
HIFK
-
Ilves
1:3
17.01.2025
Ilves
-
HIFK
2:3
20.12.2024
Ilves
-
HIFK
2:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
