Result
6:0
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.69 | 1.76 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 0% (0/22) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (22/22) | 75% (18/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 31.82 | 68.18 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:04, Lehtera J. (2 min),
- 09:03, 1 - 0, Looke J. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 12:14, Parikka J. (2 min),
- 18:36, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 00:35, 2 - 0, Johansson S. (G), Jasek L. (A), Looke J. (A2)
- 08:19, 3 - 0, Nyberg J. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
- 10:24, Utunen T. (2 min),
- 11:19, 4 - 0, Torok M. (G), Mantykivi M. (A), Kucerik R. (A2)
- 11:19, Mantykivi M. (2 min),
- 11:19, Lehtera J. (2 min),
- 17:09, 5 - 0, Borg E. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Nattinen J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 07:36, Borg E. (2 min),
- 09:00, Palmu P. (2 min),
- 15:29, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 16:46, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
- 18:33, 6 - 0, Ratinen S. (G), Nattinen J. (A), Svejkovsky L. (A2)
- 19:01, Ervasti K. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ilves
53.1% | Draw
22.1% | HIFK
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Ilves - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.89) |
4.14 ↓
(4.34) |
3.76 ↑
(3.22) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Ilves - HIFK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5, OT - HIFK (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HIFK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- Ilves is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, HIFK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:40. (average 2.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:11. (average 2.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HIFK?
Ilves has won 12 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Ilves?
HIFK has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - HIFK were as follows:
09.01.2026
HIFK
-
Ilves
1:0
11.10.2025
HIFK
-
Ilves
6:1
10.10.2025
Ilves
-
HIFK
3:0
09.08.2025
HIFK
-
Ilves
3:2
18.01.2025
HIFK
-
Ilves
1:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
