HIFK vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga HIFK - Ilves
Result
1:3
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.473.46
Shots on Goal
1824
Shots off Goal
1012
Shooting PCT
5.56% (1/18)12.5% (3/24)
Blocked Shots
713
Goalkeeper Saves
2117
Saves PCT
87.5% (21/24)94.44% (17/18)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (2/2)
Faceoffs Won
2219
Faceoffs %
53.6646.34
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 02:30, 1 - 0, Lundell K. (G), Hartikainen S. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 03:23, Mieho P. (2 min),
  • 06:02, Mieho P. (2 min),
  • 09:11, Borg E. (2 min),
  • 12:05, Suomi E. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 3)
  • 04:54, 1 - 1, Klingberg C. (G), Gazda D. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
  • 14:55, 1 - 2, Ratinen S. (G), Vaisanen K. (A), Nyberg J. (A2)
  • 18:10, Hovinen N. , Taponen R. ,
  • 19:09, 1 - 3, Suomi E. (G), Mantykivi M. (A), Looke J. (A2)

Chances of winning


HIFK
35.8%
Draw
23.4%
Ilves
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 22.8% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 22.2% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HIFK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • HIFK - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.3)
    4.02
    (4.08)
    2.3
    (2.54)
    6.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches HIFK won 3.
    • HIFK is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ilves is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's HIFK to win the game is with odds 2.62.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches HIFK won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 43:55 (average 2.2:2.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams HIFK won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 2.9:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Ilves were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Ilves - HIFK 2:3
    20.12.2024 Ilves - HIFK 2:0
    12.10.2024 HIFK - Ilves 4:0
    14.02.2024 HIFK - Ilves 3:0
    20.01.2024 Ilves - HIFK 3:1
    Latest results of HIFK
    17.01.2025 Ilves - HIFK 2:3
    11.01.2025 TPS - HIFK 2:3
    10.01.2025 HIFK - KalPa 3:1
    08.01.2025 SaiPa - HIFK 2:0
    04.01.2025 HIFK - Pelicans 6:3
    Latest results of Ilves
    17.01.2025 Ilves - HIFK 2:3
    11.01.2025 Ilves - Vaasan Sport 2:1
    10.01.2025 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 4:3
    08.01.2025 Ilves - Kärpät 3:4
    04.01.2025 Ässät - Ilves 2:1
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Liiga (Play Out: )