Result
4:1
14/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Round 6
- Referee: Hyvarinen T. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 2.68 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.38% (4/26) | 3.13% (1/32) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.88% (31/32) | 91.67% (22/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 40 | 60 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:14, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 07:01, Weber Y. (2 min),
- 07:31, Grant D. (2 min),
- 08:24, 1 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
- 18:56, Andreoff A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 13:45, 2 - 0, Torok M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
- 18:16, 3 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Torok M. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 19:37, 3 - 1, Andreoff A. (G), Kukan D. (A), Lehtonen M. (A2)
- 19:57, 4 - 1, Laurell E. (G), Niskanen A. (A),
Chances of winning
Ilves
24.9% | Draw
21.3% | ZSC Lions
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ZSC Lions's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ZSC Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilves - ZSC Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.81 ↑
(2.56) |
4.44 ↑
(4) |
1.8 ↓
(2.14) |
4.4%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ilves - ZSC Lions?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ilves will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- ZSC Lions is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
- Including home match between the teams, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against ZSC Lions?
Ilves has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ZSC Lions won against Ilves?
ZSC Lions has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - ZSC Lions were as follows:
07.09.2024
Ilves
-
ZSC Lions
1:4
Latest results of ZSC Lions
Champions League Ice Hockey Table
Main | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:7 | 18 | 3.00 |
| 2 | KalPa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:8 | 17 | 2.83 |
| 3 | Frolunda | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:11 | 15 | 2.50 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | 14 | 2.33 |
| 5 | Lukko | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21:14 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 6 | ERC Ingolstadt | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:15 | 12 | 2.00 |
| 7 | Bern | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21:14 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 | Kometa Brno | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21:22 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 9 | Lulea | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13:13 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 10 | Brynas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 11 | Salzburg | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 12 | Storhamar | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:16 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 13 | Zug | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:18 | 8 | 1.33 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:24 | 8 | 1.33 |
| 15 | Zurich | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 16 | Bremerhaven | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:17 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 17 | Mountfield HK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13:19 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 18 | Klagenfurt | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:20 | 6 | 1.00 |
| 19 | Bolzano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14:21 | 6 | 1.00 |
| 20 | Lausanne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:24 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 21 | Odense Bulldogs | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:27 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 22 | Eisbaren Berlin | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13:22 | 4 | 0.67 |
| 23 | Belfast | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14:31 | 4 | 0.67 |
| 24 | Tychy | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:19 | 3 | 0.50 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
