Ilves vs ZSC Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
14/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Round 6
  • Referee: Hyvarinen T. (Fin)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.532.68
Shots on Goal
2632
Shooting PCT
15.38% (4/26)3.13% (1/32)
Blocked Shots
168
Goalkeeper Saves
3122
Saves PCT
96.88% (31/32)91.67% (22/24)
Penalties
13
PIM
26
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
49
Faceoffs Won
2030
Faceoffs %
4060
Empty Net Goals
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 00:14, Jasek L. (2 min),
  • 07:01, Weber Y. (2 min),
  • 07:31, Grant D. (2 min),
  • 08:24, 1 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
  • 18:56, Andreoff A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 1)
  • 13:45, 2 - 0, Torok M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
  • 18:16, 3 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Torok M. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
  • 19:37, 3 - 1, Andreoff A. (G), Kukan D. (A), Lehtonen M. (A2)
  • 19:57, 4 - 1, Laurell E. (G), Niskanen A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ilves
24.9%
Draw
21.3%
ZSC Lions
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 22.5% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 21.7% 43.8%

Ilves - ZSC Lions Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.81
(2.56)
4.44
(4)
1.8
(2.14)
4.4%
(11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ilves - ZSC Lions?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ilves will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • ZSC Lions is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - ZSC Lions were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Ilves - ZSC Lions 1:4
    Latest results of Ilves
    11.10.2025 HIFK - Ilves 6:1
    10.10.2025 Ilves - HIFK 3:0
    08.10.2025 Kometa Brno - Ilves 0:5
    04.10.2025 Lukko - Ilves 1:0
    03.10.2025 Ilves - Kärpät 2:7
    Latest results of ZSC Lions
    11.10.2025 ZSC Lions - Ambrì-Piotta 1:2
    07.10.2025 ZSC Lions - Sparta Prague 1:2
    04.10.2025 Lausanne HC - ZSC Lions 1:3
    03.10.2025 ZSC Lions - Bern 7:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves (1)Bremerhaven (16)5 : 2, 3 : 2
    2Kometa Brno (8)Lulea (9)5 : 3, 1 : 6
    3Sparta Prague (4)Zug (13)3 : 2, 0 : 6
    4Lukko (5)Storhamar (12)5 : 2, 3 : 2
    5ERC Ingolstadt (6)Salzburg (11)3 : 4, 6 : 2
    6Frolunda (3)Grenoble (14)1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7Bern (7)Brynas (10)3 : 5, 2 : 1
    8KalPa (2)Zurich (15)4 : 2, 4 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilves (1)Lulea (9)
    2Zug (13)Lukko (5)
    3ERC Ingolstadt (6)Frolunda (3)
    4Brynas (10)KalPa (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2