Result
4:1
14/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Round 6
- Referee: Hyvarinen T. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 2.68 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.38% (4/26) | 3.13% (1/32) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.88% (31/32) | 91.67% (22/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 40 | 60 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:14, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 07:01, Weber Y. (2 min),
- 07:31, Grant D. (2 min),
- 08:24, 1 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
- 18:56, Andreoff A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 13:45, 2 - 0, Torok M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
- 18:16, 3 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Torok M. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 19:37, 3 - 1, Andreoff A. (G), Kukan D. (A), Lehtonen M. (A2)
- 19:57, 4 - 1, Laurell E. (G), Niskanen A. (A),
Chances of winning
Ilves 24.9% | Draw 21.3% | ZSC Lions 53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ilves - ZSC Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.81 ↑ (2.56) |
4.44 ↑ (4) |
1.8 ↓ (2.14) |
4.4% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ilves - ZSC Lions?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ilves will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- ZSC Lions is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
- Including home match between the teams, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against ZSC Lions?
Ilves has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ZSC Lions won against Ilves?
ZSC Lions has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - ZSC Lions were as follows:
07.09.2024
Ilves
-
ZSC Lions
1:4
Latest results of ZSC Lions
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Ilves (1) | Bremerhaven (16) | 5 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Kometa Brno (8) | Lulea (9) | 5 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague (4) | Zug (13) | 3 : 2, 0 : 6 |
| 4 | Lukko (5) | Storhamar (12) | 5 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 5 | ERC Ingolstadt (6) | Salzburg (11) | 3 : 4, 6 : 2 |
| 6 | Frolunda (3) | Grenoble (14) | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Bern (7) | Brynas (10) | 3 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | KalPa (2) | Zurich (15) | 4 : 2, 4 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ilves (1) | Lulea (9) | |
| 2 | Zug (13) | Lukko (5) | |
| 3 | ERC Ingolstadt (6) | Frolunda (3) | |
| 4 | Brynas (10) | KalPa (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal