Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweeny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
412
1st serve percentage
61%58%
1st serve points won
68% (44/65)62% (51/82)
2nd serve points won
51% (21/41)42% (25/60)
Break Points Saved
3/612/17
1st return points won
38% (31/82)32% (21/65)
2nd return points won
58% (35/60)49% (20/41)
Break Points Converted
5/173/6
Winners
2521
Unforced errors
6876
Net points won
75% (21/28)78% (7/9)
Service Points Won
61% (65/106)54% (76/142)
Return Points Won
46% (66/142)39% (41/106)
Total Points Won
53% (131/248)47% (117/248)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
81% (13/16)69% (11/16)
Return games won
31% (5/16)19% (3/16)
Total games won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Ilya Ivashka
33.7%
Dane Sweeny
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 73.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Ivashka that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ilya Ivashka - Dane Sweeny Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.82)

    1.4
    (1.37)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Ilya Ivashka - Dane Sweeny?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ivashka is ranked ATP: 683. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 135.
    • Ivashka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sweeny's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sweeny will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ivashka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Ilya Ivashka
    Latest results of Dane Sweeny