Sampaio Corrêa vs Imperatriz de Desportos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís).

Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats


Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
5	4
Corner Kicks
2	8
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
1	7
Corner Kicks
2	8
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Pedro Dias ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Erivan ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Wesley ⚽,

Chances of winning

Sampaio Corrêa
47%

Draw
28.4%

Imperatriz de Desportos
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.3%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Imperatriz de Desportos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imperatriz de Desportos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	3.66 ↓ (3.9)	11.4% (10.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos?

Users Predictions: Sampaio Corrêa will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sampaio Corrêa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Sampaio Corrêa won against Imperatriz de Desportos?

Sampaio Corrêa has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Imperatriz de Desportos won against Sampaio Corrêa?

Imperatriz de Desportos has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos were as follows:

10.05.2025 Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa 1:0

07.05.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos 0:2

30.04.2025 Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa 1:2

09.03.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos 1:2

11.01.2025 Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa 0:0

Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa

14.06.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Maracanã 2:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Altos - Sampaio Corrêa 1:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará 1:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Altos 2:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Maracanã - Sampaio Corrêa 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Imperatriz de Desportos

14.06.2025 Imperatriz de Desportos - Altos 0:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Maracanã - Imperatriz de Desportos 2:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Imperatriz de Desportos - Maracanã 0:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Altos - Imperatriz de Desportos 1:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Tocantinópolis - Imperatriz de Desportos 1:2 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

Main

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tuna Luso	14	8	3	3	24:10	14	27
2	Manauara	14	7	5	2	27:11	16	26
3	Manaus	14	6	5	3	21:17	4	23
4	Independencia	14	6	3	5	18:19	-1	21
5	Aguia De Maraba	14	5	5	4	22:14	8	20
6	Trem	14	5	3	6	23:24	-1	18
7	GAS	14	4	3	7	17:24	-7	15
8	Humaita	14	1	1	12	12:45	-33	4

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AE Altos	14	7	5	2	22:14	8	26
2	Imperatriz	14	7	3	4	17:15	2	24
3	Sampaio Correa	14	5	6	3	17:11	6	21
4	Maranhao	14	4	7	3	18:12	6	19
5	Iguatu	14	5	3	6	15:15	0	18
6	Tocantinopolis	14	3	6	5	11:17	-6	15
7	Parnahyba	14	3	5	6	16:22	-6	14
8	Maracana	14	3	3	8	12:22	-10	12

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America RN	14	8	3	3	21:9	12	27
2	Santa Cruz	14	8	3	3	20:10	10	27
3	Central SC	14	7	5	2	15:7	8	26
4	Ferroviario	14	5	3	6	15:19	-4	18
5	Horizonte	14	5	2	7	14:17	-3	17
6	Santa Cruz de Natal	14	5	2	7	13:20	-7	17
7	Treze PB	14	4	1	9	7:20	-13	13
8	Sousa	14	3	3	8	11:14	-3	12

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	ASA	14	9	4	1	27:8	19	31
2	Lagarto	14	7	2	5	20:16	4	23
3	Sergipe	14	6	4	4	16:10	6	22
4	Juazeirense	14	6	4	4	12:15	-3	22
5	Uniao Carmolandense	14	5	4	5	14:16	-2	19
6	Jequie	14	4	4	6	15:16	-1	16
7	Barcelona	14	2	5	7	9:20	-11	11
8	SC Penedense	14	1	5	8	5:17	-12	8

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aparecidense	14	10	2	2	32:12	20	32
2	Ceilandia	14	8	4	2	23:14	9	28
3	Luverdense	14	7	4	3	14:12	2	25
4	Mixto	14	6	6	2	22:13	9	24
5	Capital	14	4	5	5	14:12	2	17
6	Goiania	14	2	4	8	12:22	-10	10
7	Goianesia	14	1	5	8	11:22	-11	8
8	Porto Velho	14	1	4	9	9:30	-21	7

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa	14	9	3	2	22:13	9	30
2	Rio Branco ES	14	8	2	4	19:9	10	26
3	Agua Santa	14	6	3	5	20:18	2	21
4	Marica	14	5	4	5	14:14	0	19
5	Pouso Alegre	14	5	2	7	13:18	-5	17
6	Porto Vitoria	14	4	5	5	14:13	1	17
7	Nova Iguacu	14	3	6	5	13:16	-3	15
8	Boavista	14	2	3	9	9:23	-14	9

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter de Limeira	14	9	3	2	21:7	14	30
2	Cianorte	14	6	4	4	22:17	5	22
3	Goiatuba	14	6	4	4	21:16	5	22
4	Cascavel	14	5	6	3	15:15	0	21
5	Uberlandia	14	4	4	6	21:20	1	16
6	Monte Azul	14	3	5	6	13:18	-5	14
7	Operario MS	14	3	5	6	13:22	-9	14
8	Itabirito	14	1	7	6	11:22	-11	10

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barra FC	14	8	2	4	20:10	10	26
2	EC Sao Jose	14	7	5	2	21:11	10	26
3	Joinville	14	6	3	5	11:11	0	21
4	Marcilio Dias	14	5	6	3	17:15	2	21
5	Guarany de Bage	14	5	4	5	11:14	-3	19
6	Brasil de Pelotas	14	5	1	8	11:12	-1	16
7	Sao Luiz	14	4	1	9	10:20	-10	13
8	Azuriz	14	3	4	7	6:14	-8	13

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)