Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

EFBET Stadion (Surdulica).

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 10
Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Premium 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	0.96
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
68% (218/322)	71% (242/343)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	0.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.34	0.01
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
6	5
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
22	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
16	14
Passes
68% (218/322)	71% (242/343)
Long passes
39% (26/66)	42% (30/71)
Passes in final third
61% (87/142)	51% (42/82)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.77
Throw-ins
32	36
Fouls
14	16
Tackles
71% (10/14)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
65	62
Clearances
30	38
Interceptions
20	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.01	2.34
Goals prevented
0.01	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Bogdanovic V. ⚽, Gasic M. (A),
15', Sissako M. 🟨,
24', Popovic M. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Tremoulet S. ⚽,
33', Campbell K. ↓, Lukovic L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sissako M. ↓, Novicic V. ↑,
46', Glisic N. ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
53', Lukovic M. 🟨,
57', Novicic V. 🟨,
71', Karamoko S. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
81', Jovanovic D. ↓, Duronjic B. ↑,
85', Batisse A. 🟥,
87', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Pejovic A. ↑,
90', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Chinedu S. ↑,
90+1', Gasic M. ↓, Blagojevic U. ↑,
90+1', Zagar D. ↓, Baltic S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Radnik Surdulica
49.6%

Draw
26.3%

IMT Novi Beograd
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.

IMT Novi Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IMT Novi Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IMT Novi Beograd than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IMT Novi Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Radnik Surdulica - IMT Novi Beograd Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.44)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)	4.07 ↑ (2.55)	1.8% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica - IMT Novi Beograd?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radnik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Radnik Surdulica will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
Radnik has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
IMT has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Radnik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Radnik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against IMT Novi Beograd?

Radnik Surdulica has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has IMT Novi Beograd won against Radnik Surdulica?

IMT Novi Beograd has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Radnik Surdulica - IMT Novi Beograd were as follows:

01.05.2024 IMT Novi Beograd - Radnik Surdulica 5:2

16.03.2024 Radnik Surdulica - IMT Novi Beograd 0:1

06.10.2023 IMT Novi Beograd - Radnik Surdulica 1:1

Latest results of Radnik Surdulica

19.09.2025 Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica 1:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Radnik Surdulica - Radnički 1923 2:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Partizan - Radnik Surdulica 2:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Radnik Surdulica - Železničar Pančevo 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica 2:0 ✺

Latest results of IMT Novi Beograd

21.09.2025 IMT Novi Beograd - Radnički Niš 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Javor Ivanjica - IMT Novi Beograd 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Napredak Kruševac - IMT Novi Beograd 3:1 ✺

24.08.2025 IMT Novi Beograd - Radnički 1923 2:0 ✺

18.08.2025 Partizan - IMT Novi Beograd 5:1 ✺

Serbian Superliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Partizan	12	10	1	1	32:10	22	31
2	Crvena zvezda	10	10	0	0	41:7	34	30
3	Vojvodina	12	7	3	2	23:10	13	24
4	OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet	13	6	2	5	21:21	0	20
5	Novi Pazar	13	5	4	4	17:17	0	19
6	Zeleznicar Pancevo	13	5	4	4	17:18	-1	19
7	Cukaricki	12	5	3	4	17:17	0	18
8	Javor	12	4	4	4	16:18	-2	16
9	Radnicki 1923	13	4	4	5	15:19	-4	16
10	TSC	13	4	2	7	12:17	-5	14
11	Mladost	13	3	5	5	11:18	-7	14
12	IMT Novi Beograd	13	4	2	7	13:28	-15	14
13	Radnik	13	4	1	8	17:21	-4	13
14	Sp. Subotica	13	3	3	7	14:22	-8	12
15	Radnicki Nis	12	3	2	7	17:20	-3	11
16	Napredak	13	1	4	8	10:30	-20	7

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