Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Macario ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 0, Macario ⚽,
- 14', 3 - 0, Macario ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 3 - 1, Felipinho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Altos
70.4% | Draw
18.6% | Independência
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altos's performance.Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altos than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+4%)
Altos - Independência Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.55) |
4.86 ↑
(3.5) |
8.22 ↑
(5.75) |
10.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Altos - Independência?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Altos (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Independência (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altos (votes: 1 - 50%). Independência (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Altos is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Altos won against Independência?
Altos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independência won against Altos?
Independência has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Altos - Independência were as follows:
03.08.2025
Independência
-
Altos
1:5
Latest results of Independência
Brazilian Serie D Table
2026Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional-AM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Sao Raimundo RR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Manauara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Manaus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | GAS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Porto Velho | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Araguaina | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guapore | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independencia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Galvez | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 6 | Humaita | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Aparecidense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brasiliense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Primavera AC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Inhumas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Capital | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Goiatuba | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mixto | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Operario VG | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 5 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Ceilandia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Imperatriz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Trem | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Aguia De Maraba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Tuna Luso | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Tocantinopolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Oratorio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maracana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Iguatu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | IAPE | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Moto Club | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Parnahyba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fluminense-PI | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Piaui | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Atletico-CE | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | AE Altos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 6 | Tirol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America RN | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Maguary | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | ABC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Sousa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Central SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lagarto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Sergipe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Treze PB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Serra Branca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Decisao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Retro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSA | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | ASA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | CSE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | Alagoinhas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ivinhema | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Betim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Uberlandia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | CRAC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Ouvidorense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tombense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Democrata GV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Vitoria ES | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Porto-BA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Rio Branco ES | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Real Noroeste | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa RJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Portuguesa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Agua Santa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Madureira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Pouso Alegre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | America RJ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Piracicaba | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Velo Clube | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa FE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Noroeste | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | Nova Iguacu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Joinville | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Cascavel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Cianorte | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Santa Catarina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Guarany de Bage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Sao Luiz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Blumenau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Sao Joseense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Brasil de Pelotas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Azuriz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 6 | EC Sao Jose | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)
