Independência vs Galvez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Acreano - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Diego Pereira ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 76', 0 - 2, Luquinhas ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Bare J. ,

Chances of winning


Independência
29.2%
Draw
24.1%
Galvez
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 22.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 21.8% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independência's performance.
  • Galvez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galvez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independência that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galvez than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galvez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Independência - Galvez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (4.16)
    3.76
    (3.99)
    1.94
    (1.66)
    10.5%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Independência - Galvez?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independência will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Galvez will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Galvez (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Acreano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Galvez is Qualified for Acreano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Independência may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Independência has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Galvez is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Independência won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Independência won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independência - Galvez were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Galvez - Independência 1:3
    25.02.2025 Galvez - Independência 0:0
    20.04.2023 Independência - Galvez 1:0
    Latest results of Independência
    Latest results of Galvez
    28.02.2026 Galvez - Vasco da Gama AC 5:2
    18.02.2026 Galvez - Guaporé 1:2
    14.02.2026 Galvez - Humaitá 0:1
    07.02.2026 Santa Cruz Acre - Galvez 0:1
    31.01.2026 Senador Guiomard - Galvez 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1GalvezRio Branco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2HumaitaSanta Cruz AC0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Rio BrancoSanta Cruz AC0 : 1

    3rd place
    2GalvezHumaita2 : 1