Grêmio Atlético Sampaio vs Independência – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência
Result
1:2
05/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
119
Corner Kicks
72
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
119
Shots off target
141
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
46.3%
Draw
27.1%
Independência
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 26.5% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.7% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.1)
    3.36
    (3.4)
    3.41
    (2.95)
    10%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. GAS (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • GAS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, GAS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio 4:1
    Latest results of Independência
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0