Independência vs Manaus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Independência - Manaus
Result
1:0
07/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
45
Total shots
108
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Independência
24.8%
Draw
27.6%
Manaus
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 27.2% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 28.5% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Independência - Manaus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (3.21)
    3.29
    (3.33)
    1.9
    (2.03)
    10.3%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • Independência is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Manaus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Manaus might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independência won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Independência won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independência - Manaus were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Manaus - Independência 1:0
    19.02.2025 Independência - Manaus 1:2
    Latest results of Independência
    Latest results of Manaus
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira2 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2