Tuna Luso Brasileira vs Independência – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência
Result
3:0
15/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
45
Total shots
106
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Feijao ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Ronaldy ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 86', 3 - 0, Ronaldy ,

Chances of winning


Tuna Luso Brasileira
63.4%
Draw
21.9%
Independência
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 27.1% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 26.7% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tuna Luso Brasileira's performance.
  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tuna Luso Brasileira that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.69)
    4.2
    (3.4)
    6.25
    (5.02)
    8.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Independência may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tuna Luso is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tuna Luso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência were as follows:
    27.05.2025 Independência - Tuna Luso Brasileira 0:0
    Latest results of Independência
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira2 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2