Tuna Luso Brasileira vs Independência – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência
Result
3:0
15/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
45
Total shots
106
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Feijao ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Ronaldy ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 86', 3 - 0, Ronaldy ,

Chances of winning


Tuna Luso Brasileira
63.4%
Draw
21.9%
Independência
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 27.1% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 26.7% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tuna Luso Brasileira's performance.
  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tuna Luso Brasileira that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.69)
    4.2
    (3.4)
    6.25
    (5.02)
    8.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Independência may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tuna Luso is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tuna Luso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência were as follows:
    27.05.2025 Independência - Tuna Luso Brasileira 0:0
    Latest results of Independência
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0