Independente de Limeira vs Francana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Independente de Limeira - Francana
Result
0:2
23/03/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Bruno de Sousa ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+2', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Independente de Limeira
14.9%
Draw
20.4%
Francana
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 25.2% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 24.9% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independente de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Francana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente de Limeira than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francana than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independente de Limeira - Francana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.07
    (5.09)
    4.43
    (3.6)
    1.4
    (1.59)
    10.7%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Francana is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Independente is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Francana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Independente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Francana is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Francana
    20.03.2024 Francana - Joseense 4:0
    15.03.2024 SKA Brasil - Francana 2:1
    10.03.2024 Francana - Nacional SP 2:0
    06.03.2024 VOCEM - Francana 1:2
    02.03.2024 Barretos - Francana 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0