Independente de Limeira vs XV de Jaú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Independente de Limeira - XV de Jaú
Result
1:0
06/03/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 10

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Independente de Limeira
16.4%
Draw
25.8%
XV de Jaú
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 27.9% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22% 27.7% 50.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independente de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independente de Limeira's form might have worsened.
  • XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting XV de Jaú's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente de Limeira than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independente de Limeira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for XV de Jaú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independente de Limeira - XV de Jaú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.49
    (4.09)
    3.49
    (3.25)
    1.56
    (1.82)
    11%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Independente is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • XV de Jaú is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match XV de Jaú is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of XV de Jaú
    02.03.2024 Taquaritinga - XV de Jaú 0:0
    28.02.2024 XV de Jaú - SKA Brasil 1:1
    25.02.2024 VOCEM - XV de Jaú 0:0
    21.02.2024 Jabaquara - XV de Jaú 0:1
    18.02.2024 XV de Jaú - Penapolense 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0