Result
3:2
07/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | LPF Play, TNT Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 36', (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 70', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 71', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independiente 2 51.3% | Draw 27.1% | Atlético de Rafaela 2 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente 2's form might have worsened.Atlético de Rafaela 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Rafaela 2's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela 2 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético de Rafaela 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↑ (1.54) |
3.36 ↓ (3.69) |
4.23 ↓ (5.96) |
9.8% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- In recent matches, Independiente 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atl de Rafaela 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independiente 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente 2 won against Atlético de Rafaela 2?
Independiente 2 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela 2 won against Independiente 2?
Atlético de Rafaela 2 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2 were as follows:
Latest results of Independiente 2
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela 2
Argentinian Reserve League Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Rosario Central 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Racing Club 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba 2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Instituto 2 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Atl. Tucuman 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P. 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | River Plate 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs 2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 14 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe 2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin 2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Banfield 2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Barracas Central 2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigre 2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Godoy Cruz 2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Aldosivi 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Quilmes 2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:10 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Lanus 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Independiente 2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys 2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Deportivo Riestra 2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:9 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Huracan 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Platense 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. 2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Ind. Rivadavia 2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Ferro 2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Belgrano 2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba 2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Colon Santa Fe 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | San Martin S.J. 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:33 | -24 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)