Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Pronunciamiento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/08/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Sanchez D. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Martinez K. ,

Chances of winning


Independiente Chivilcoy
66.3%
Draw
23.2%
Defensores de Pronunciamiento
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 25.2% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4% 24.3% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Chivilcoy's performance.
  • Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Pronunciamiento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Pronunciamiento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Pronunciamiento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.67)
    3.91
    (3.6)
    8.63
    (4.42)
    10.1%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Chivilcoy won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Independiente Chivilcoy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Independiente Chivilcoy is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Independiente Chivilcoy won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Chivilcoy won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Pronunciamiento were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy 0:0
    23.03.2024 Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Pronunciamiento 3:1
    01.10.2023 Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy 1:0
    02.08.2023 Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Pronunciamiento 1:0
    11.06.2023 Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0