Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
02/05/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
27
Corner kicks
74
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
98
Corner kicks
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 41', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Lesman G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 2, Lehmann A. ,
  • 68', 0 - 3, Mercado E. ,
  • 84', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Chivilcoy
38.3%
Draw
33.9%
Sportivo Belgrano
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 30.5% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 30.8% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.
  • Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2)
    2.69
    (2.95)
    3.29
    (3.65)
    9.5%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sportivo Belgrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ind Chivilcoy could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano 2:3
    11.07.2025 Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy 0:0
    10.05.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano 1:2
    23.06.2024 Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy 1:0
    27.04.2024 Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano 0:2
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig761011:4719
    29 de Julio Rafaela741215:9613
    3Defensores Belgrano VR732213:10311
    4Chivilcoy73226:6011
    5Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    6Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    7El Linqueno72236:10-48
    8Atletico Escobar72149:14-57
    9Sportivo Las Parejas71334:7-36
    10Gimnasia E.R70165:14-91


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin Formosa63218:5311
    2Sol de America63127:4310
    3Defensores de Vilelas731311:10110
    4Juventud Antoniana63127:7010
    5Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    6Boca Unidos622210:918
    7Tucuman Central62135:8-37
    8Sarmiento Resistencia70617:9-26
    9Sarmiento de La Banda60333:7-43


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti732210:9111
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Argentino MM62314:319
    5Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    6Deportivo Rincon62227:708
    7Costa Brava71426:517
    8Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25
    9San Martin Mendoza61231:5-45


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca65107:0716
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Germinal62314:319
    5Alvarado72324:409
    6Santamarina61416:427
    7Villa Mitre61323:306
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )