Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
16/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
78
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Schlotthauer M. ,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Rossi J. ,
  • 19', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 2, Avaro E. ,
  • 57', Mast T. , Benitez E. ,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Schlotthauer M. ,
  • 65', Attis T. , Brylko H. ,
  • 74', Ciancio V. , Fernandez V. ,
  • 74', Veron L. , Giaccone F. ,
  • 84', 2 - 3, Rossi J. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 85', Rossi J. , Franceschi E. ,
  • 85', Hang F. , Coceres G. ,
  • 85', Gimenez J. , Franco D. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Chivilcoy
45.5%
Draw
31.2%
Sportivo Belgrano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 28.6% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 29.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.12)
    3.04
    (3.15)
    4.09
    (3.1)
    5.4%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 0.
    • Ind Chivilcoy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sportivo Belgrano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ind Chivilcoy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano were as follows:
    11.07.2025 Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy 0:0
    10.05.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano 1:2
    23.06.2024 Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy 1:0
    27.04.2024 Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano 0:2
    18.09.2023 Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy 1:0
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas42118:627
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia40314:6-23
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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