Independiente de Oliva vs Peñarol de Mar del Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
102:107
27/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga A

Chances of winning


Independiente de Oliva
68%
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente de Oliva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de Oliva than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente de Oliva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Mar del Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Independiente de Oliva - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.4)

    2.92
    (2.55)
    7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 169.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind de Oliva won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ind de Oliva has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ind de Oliva is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ind de Oliva won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 594:616. (average 84.9:88).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind de Oliva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 259:262. (average 86.3:87.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente de Oliva - Peñarol de Mar del Plata were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Independiente de Oliva 76:87
    07.05.2025 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Independiente de Oliva 99:74
    18.12.2024 Independiente de Oliva - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 93:107
    17.05.2024 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Independiente de Oliva 86:77
    01.12.2023 Independiente de Oliva - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 83:75
    Latest results of Independiente de Oliva
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Quimsa (1)Bye
    2La Union (8)Independiente de Oliva (9)1 : 1
    3Obera TC (4)Bye
    4Boca Juniors (5)San Martin (12)2 : 0
    5Gimnasia (2)Bye
    6Obras Sanitarias (7)Instituto de Cordoba (10)1 : 1
    7Regatas (3)Bye
    8Ferro (6)Penarol (11)2 : 0