Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (249/309) | 88% (445/503) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 3.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (249/309) | 88% (445/503) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 60% (36/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (65/90) | 77% (73/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 39% (9/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.79 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Pata E. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Torres E. 🟨,
- 56', Sornoza J. 🟨,
- 64', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 66', Sornoza J. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 66', Ibarra R. ↓,
- 71', Hoyos M. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
- 77', Corozo B. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Julio M. ⚽,
- 87', Zabala C. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 87', Cortez G. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 89', Caicedo J. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
- 90+4', Medina J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Luzarraga R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
32% | Draw
29% | Independiente del Valle
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88
(2.88) |
3.2 ↓
(3.35) |
2.4 ↑
(2.35) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Independiente del Valle?
Técnico Universitario has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Técnico Universitario?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
25.08.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
21.03.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
23.09.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
Independiente del Valle
2:2
22.04.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
10.10.2022
Independiente del Valle
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
