Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.81 | 2.07 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
81% (249/309) | 88% (445/503) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.81 | 2.07 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.59 | 3.79 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
81% (249/309) | 88% (445/503) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (27/52) | 60% (36/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (65/90) | 77% (73/95) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (10/23) | 39% (9/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.05 | 2.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.79 | 1.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.79 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Pata E. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Torres E. 🟨,
- 56', Sornoza J. 🟨,
- 64', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 66', Sornoza J. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 66', Ibarra R. ↓,
- 71', Hoyos M. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
- 77', Corozo B. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Julio M. ⚽,
- 87', Zabala C. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 87', Cortez G. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 89', Caicedo J. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
- 90+4', Medina J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Luzarraga R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario 32% | Draw 29% | Independiente del Valle 39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.88 (2.88) |
3.2 ↓ (3.35) |
2.4 ↑ (2.35) |
7.6% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Independiente del Valle?
Técnico Universitario has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Técnico Universitario?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
25.08.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
21.03.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
23.09.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
Independiente del Valle
2:2
22.04.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
10.10.2022
Independiente del Valle
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )