Chacaritas vs Independiente Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Serie B Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors
Result
0:2
25/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Preciado G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 73', 0 - 2, Preciado G. ,

Chances of winning


Chacaritas
30.3%
Draw
27.6%
Independiente Juniors
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 28.3% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chacaritas's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chacaritas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.45)
    3.36
    (3.1)
    2.2
    (2.62)
    7.9%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 1.
    • Chacaritas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Independiente Jr has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chacaritas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Independiente Jr will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chacaritas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors were as follows:
    15.04.2025 Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas 3:1
    16.07.2024 Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas 2:0
    09.06.2024 Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas 1:0
    17.04.2024 Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors 1:5
    18.10.2023 Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors 1:0
    Latest results of Chacaritas
    17.06.2025 San Antonio - Chacaritas 2:0
    10.06.2025 Chacaritas - Vargas Torres 3:3
    03.06.2025 Imbabura - Chacaritas 4:1
    29.05.2025 Chacaritas - Cumbayá 1:1
    20.05.2025 9 de Octubre - Chacaritas 2:0
    Ecuadorian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leones del Norte ✔ 2097422:13934
    2Gualaceo ✔ 2097427:25234
    3Guayaquil City ✔ 2096530:161433
    4Nueve de Octubre ✔ 2096520:13733
    5San Antonio2094719:17231
    6Ind. Juniors2094722:21131
    7Cumbaya2075818:21-326
    8Atletico Vinotinto2074932:26625
    922 de Julio2067719:29-1025
    10Vargas Torres ✔ 2059626:22424
    11Imbabura ✔ 20361121:28-715
    12Chacaritas ✔ 20271117:42-2513

          Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
          Serie B (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Leones del Norte is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
    Gualaceo is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
    Guayaquil City is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
    Nueve de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
    Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
    Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
    Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )