Result
1:0
01/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Orrego S. 🟨,
- 34', Alvarez S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Orrego S. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 61', Hurtado M. ↓, Rojas V. ↑,
- 62', Agudelo E. ↓, Toledo M. ↑,
- 64', Mosquera M. ↓, Sterling M. ↑,
- 64', Ocampo L. ↓, Ceballos C. ↑,
- 76', Hernandez E. ↓, Munera M. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez A. ↓, Patino S. ↑,
- 86', Rojas V. 🟨,
- 88', Castillo V. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
- 90+1', Alvarez L. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Ibarguen K. (A),
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional 57.6% | Draw 25.7% | Independiente Medellín 16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↓ (1.67) |
3.5 ↑ (3) |
5.41 ↑ (4.3) |
11.1% (16.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
- In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ind Medellín is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
08.06.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
30.04.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
03.07.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
18.06.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
22.04.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
3:4
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Liga Women Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | America de Cali W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 19 |
| 4 | Dep. Cali W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Inter Palmira W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Santa Fe W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Llaneros W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Orsomarso W | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Junior W | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga W | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:23 | -16 | 8 |
| 13 | Fortaleza W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2:14 | -12 | 4 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto W | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Once Caldas W | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:17 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )