Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Women - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
103
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
06
Yellow cards
34
Total shots
103
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Orrego S. 🟨,
  • 34', Alvarez S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Orrego S. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 61', Hurtado M. , Rojas V. ,
  • 62', Agudelo E. , Toledo M. ,
  • 64', Mosquera M. , Sterling M. ,
  • 64', Ocampo L. , Ceballos C. ,
  • 76', Hernandez E. , Munera M. ,
  • 76', Gonzalez A. , Patino S. ,
  • 86', Rojas V. 🟨,
  • 88', Castillo V. , Arias K. ,
  • 90+1', Alvarez L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. , Ibarguen K. (A),
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
57.6%
Draw
25.7%
Independiente Medellín
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 28.6% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 28.7% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.
  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.67)
    3.5
    (3)
    5.41
    (4.3)
    11.1%
    (16.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
    • In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ind Medellín is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    30.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:0
    03.07.2024 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 1:2
    18.06.2024 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:2
    22.04.2024 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 3:4
    Colombian Liga Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional W970218:41421
    2America de Cali W870114:41021
    3Millonarios W861122:61619
    4Dep. Cali W852113:5817
    5Inter Palmira W852111:7417
    6Santa Fe W842214:7714
    7Ind. Medellin W941414:10413
    8Inter Bogotu00e1 W840412:10212
    9Llaneros W93338:10-212
    10Orsomarso W82426:7-110
    11Junior W92258:14-68
    12Bucaramanga W92257:23-168
    13Fortaleza W81345:11-66
    14Real Santander W90452:14-124
    15Dep. Pasto W80356:14-83
    16Once Caldas W80173:17-141

          Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )