Independiente Petroleros vs Jorge Wilstermann – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann
Result
2:1
20/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 16

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.19
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
75% (297/396)75% (253/337)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.27
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
07
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
75% (297/396)75% (253/337)
Long passes
50% (40/80)53% (42/80)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)59% (70/118)
Crosses
37% (7/19)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.50
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
1217
Tackles
78% (14/18)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
1416
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.271.34
Goals prevented
0.27-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Thomaz (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Barron A. , Aliaga A. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Velasco A. ,
  • 46', Velasquez E. , Avila R. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Willie , Martinez Y. (A),
  • 55', Willie , Mercado A. ,
  • 63', Martinez Y. , Rivera E. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Caceres A. (Pen),
  • 75', Rodriguez L. , Tumiri E. ,
  • 80', Thomaz , Medina A. ,
  • 80', Cardozo R. , Navarro D. ,
  • 83', Aguilera D. 🟨,
  • 88', Corrales R. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 90', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Villarroel N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Petroleros
56.6%
Draw
24.4%
Jorge Wilstermann
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 22.1% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 21.1% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.67)
    3.83
    (4.2)
    4.87
    (4.2)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Wilstermann will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
    • Ind Petroleros has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wilstermann is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ind Petroleros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ind Petroleros is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 2.8:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros 0:1
    21.12.2024 Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros 3:2
    22.09.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann 2:2
    03.10.2023 Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann 0:3
    15.04.2023 Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros 0:1
    Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
    Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready23174266:234355
    2The Strongest22161559:372249
    3Bolivar21134452:232943
    4Blooming22114740:36437
    5Guabira22104845:41434
    6SA Bulo Bulo2387843:39431
    7Independiente2286837:43-630
    8GV San Jose23931130:39-930
    9Nacional Potosi23761037:32527
    10Oriente Petrolero23761034:43-927
    11Universitario de Vinto23671028:42-1425
    12Real Oruro23661138:50-1224
    13Tomayapo2258923:37-1423
    14Academia del Balompie23581025:40-1523
    15Wilstermann23261518:48-3012
    16Aurora22841039:41-2-5

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation