Result
2:1
20/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (297/396) | 75% (253/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (297/396) | 75% (253/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (40/80) | 53% (42/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (58/92) | 59% (70/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Thomaz (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Barron A. ↓, Aliaga A. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez I. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 46', Velasquez E. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Willie ⚽, Martinez Y. (A),
- 55', Willie ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
- 63', Martinez Y. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Caceres A. (Pen),
- 75', Rodriguez L. ↓, Tumiri E. ↑,
- 80', Thomaz ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 80', Cardozo R. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
- 83', Aguilera D. 🟨,
- 88', Corrales R. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 90', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Villarroel N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
56.6% | Draw
24.4% | Jorge Wilstermann
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.67) |
3.83 ↓
(4.2) |
4.87 ↑
(4.2) |
7.5%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Wilstermann will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
- Ind Petroleros has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wilstermann is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ind Petroleros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ind Petroleros is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 2.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Jorge Wilstermann?
Independiente Petroleros has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Independiente Petroleros?
Jorge Wilstermann has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann were as follows:
29.03.2025
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Independiente Petroleros
0:1
21.12.2024
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Independiente Petroleros
3:2
22.09.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Jorge Wilstermann
2:2
03.10.2023
Independiente Petroleros
-
Jorge Wilstermann
0:3
15.04.2023
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Independiente Petroleros
0:1
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 49:29 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 33 |
| 4 | Blooming | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 30:26 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Guabira | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Real Oruro | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 20 |
| 10 | Universitario de Vinto | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Academia del Balompie | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:30 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 | Independiente | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
| 14 | Tomayapo | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 17 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12:38 | -26 | 6 |
| 16 | Aurora | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 30:30 | 0 | -11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
