Result
3:1
17/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (185/260) | 73% (214/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.95 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (185/260) | 73% (214/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (46/79) | 53% (31/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 3.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Quiroga A. 🟨,
- 22', Moriceau T. 🟨,
- 28', Cristaldo G. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 34', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽, Altamirano S. (A),
- 41', Aguilera D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 0, Quaglio F. ⚽,
- 54', Lovera J. 🟨,
- 60', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
- 61', Lovera J. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
- 61', Moriceau T. ↓, Ursino L. ↑,
- 64', Thomaz 🟨,
- 64', Amoroso J. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Navarro D. ⚽,
- 70', Villalba D. ↓, Chajtur M. ↑,
- 70', Mercado A. ↓, Morales D. ↑,
- 76', Vedia C. 🟨,
- 82', Aguilera D. ↓, Zamora R. ↑,
- 87', Chajtur M. 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 1, Quiroga A. (Pen),
- 90', Quaglio F. ↓, Lino D. ↑,
Chances of winning
The Strongest
70.4% | Draw
17.6% | Independiente Petroleros
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.33) |
5.37 ↓
(8) |
7.93 ↑
(5.18) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 4.
- The Strongest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ind Petroleros is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ind Petroleros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, The Strongest is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, The Strongest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Independiente Petroleros?
The Strongest has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against The Strongest?
Independiente Petroleros has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:
26.04.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
The Strongest
1:1
01.12.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
The Strongest
0:2
04.08.2024
The Strongest
-
Independiente Petroleros
5:0
17.07.2023
The Strongest
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:0
12.02.2023
Independiente Petroleros
-
The Strongest
1:4
Latest results of The Strongest
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 62:38 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 54:24 | 30 | 46 |
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38:46 | -8 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:39 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
