The Strongest vs Independiente Petroleros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros
Result
3:1
17/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
71% (185/260)73% (214/295)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.33
xG on target (xGOT)
3.950.28
Total shots
209
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2210
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
71% (185/260)73% (214/295)
Long passes
50% (21/42)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
58% (46/79)53% (31/59)
Crosses
13% (3/23)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.42
Throw-ins
3218
Fouls
1212
Tackles
86% (6/7)83% (10/12)
Duels won
2827
Clearances
618
Interceptions
14
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.283.95
Goals prevented
-0.720.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Quiroga A. 🟨,
  • 22', Moriceau T. 🟨,
  • 28', Cristaldo G. , Medina A. ,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Garcia J. , Altamirano S. (A),
  • 41', Aguilera D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Quaglio F. ,
  • 54', Lovera J. 🟨,
  • 60', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
  • 61', Lovera J. , Godoy J. ,
  • 61', Moriceau T. , Ursino L. ,
  • 64', Thomaz 🟨,
  • 64', Amoroso J. , Sotomayor G. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Navarro D. ,
  • 70', Villalba D. , Chajtur M. ,
  • 70', Mercado A. , Morales D. ,
  • 76', Vedia C. 🟨,
  • 82', Aguilera D. , Zamora R. ,
  • 87', Chajtur M. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Quiroga A. (Pen),
  • 90', Quaglio F. , Lino D. ,

Chances of winning


The Strongest
70.4%
Draw
17.6%
Independiente Petroleros
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 11.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4% 10.9% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.33)
    5.37
    (8)
    7.93
    (5.18)
    7.7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 4.
    • The Strongest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ind Petroleros is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ind Petroleros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, The Strongest is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, The Strongest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest 1:1
    01.12.2024 Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest 0:2
    04.08.2024 The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros 5:0
    17.07.2023 The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros 2:0
    12.02.2023 Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest 1:4
    Latest results of The Strongest
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready23174266:234355
    2The Strongest23171562:382452
    3Bolivar22144454:243046
    4Blooming23114841:38337
    5Guabira23104947:44334
    6SA Bulo Bulo2387843:39431
    7Independiente2386938:46-830
    8GV San Jose23931130:39-930
    9Nacional Potosi23761037:32527
    10Oriente Petrolero23761034:43-927
    11Tomayapo2368926:39-1326
    12Universitario de Vinto23671028:42-1425
    13Real Oruro23661138:50-1224
    14Academia del Balompie23581025:40-1523
    15Wilstermann23261518:48-3012
    16Aurora22841039:41-2-5

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation