Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (278/355) | 78% (199/256) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (278/355) | 78% (199/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (95/150) | 56% (23/41) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Mena Posada H. H. 🟨,
- 17', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
- 24', Melendez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Melendez J. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 46', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
- 51', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 57', Murillo E. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 1, Angel Bernal F. S. ⚽,
- 67', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. (Pen),
- 70', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 74', Barrera J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 74', Caicedo D. ↓, Berdugo L. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Fernandez O. ⚽, Zapata A. (A),
- 78', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 80', Enamorado J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez S. ↓, Bacca M. ↑,
- 81', Cuenu J. 🟨,
- 86', Mosquera Moreno Y. ↓, Agamez M. ↑,
- 87', Zapata A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 90+2', Agamez M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ycyp7d82
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
63.8% | Draw
23.4% | Junior Barranquilla
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.94) |
4.04 ↑
(3.25) |
7.4 ↑
(3.8) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 58.6% – 97%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Santa Fe (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Fe is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Junior Barranquilla?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Junior Barranquilla has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
01.09.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
21.02.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Junior Barranquilla
3:0
02.09.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
18.03.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
23.11.2022
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:3
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
