Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.58 | 0.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
25 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
78% (278/355) | 78% (199/256) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.58 | 0.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.90 | 0.08 |
Total shots |
---|
25 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 3 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
78% (278/355) | 78% (199/256) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (16/34) | 38% (22/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (95/150) | 56% (23/41) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (7/21) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.73 | 0.25 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 50% (4/8) |
Duels won |
---|
27 | 22 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.08 | 1.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.92 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Mena Posada H. H. 🟨,
- 17', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
- 24', Melendez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Melendez J. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 46', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
- 51', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 57', Murillo E. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 1, Angel Bernal F. S. ⚽,
- 67', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. (Pen),
- 70', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 74', Barrera J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 74', Caicedo D. ↓, Berdugo L. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Fernandez O. ⚽, Zapata A. (A),
- 78', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 80', Enamorado J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez S. ↓, Bacca M. ↑,
- 81', Cuenu J. 🟨,
- 86', Mosquera Moreno Y. ↓, Agamez M. ↑,
- 87', Zapata A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 90+2', Agamez M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ycyp7d82
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe 63.8% | Draw 23.4% | Junior Barranquilla 12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.94) |
4.04 ↑ (3.25) |
7.4 ↑ (3.8) |
6.6% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 58.6% – 97%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Santa Fe (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Fe is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Junior Barranquilla?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Junior Barranquilla has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
01.09.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
21.02.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Junior Barranquilla
3:0
02.09.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
18.03.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
23.11.2022
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:3
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )