Independiente Santa Fe vs Junior Barranquilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
  • Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.44
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
255
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
78% (278/355)78% (199/256)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.08
Total shots
255
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
100
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
383
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
610
Passes
78% (278/355)78% (199/256)
Long passes
47% (16/34)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
63% (95/150)56% (23/41)
Crosses
33% (7/21)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.25
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
106
Tackles
67% (6/9)50% (4/8)
Duels won
2722
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.081.90
Goals prevented
-0.92-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Mena Posada H. H. 🟨,
  • 17', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
  • 24', Melendez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Melendez J. , Mosquera H. ,
  • 46', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. , Olivera E. ,
  • 51', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 57', Murillo E. , Lopez E. ,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Angel Bernal F. S. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. (Pen),
  • 70', Perlaza Perea Y. A. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 74', Barrera J. , Diaz J. ,
  • 74', Caicedo D. , Berdugo L. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Fernandez O. , Zapata A. (A),
  • 78', Olivera E. 🟨,
  • 80', Enamorado J. , Canchimbo J. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez S. , Bacca M. ,
  • 81', Cuenu J. 🟨,
  • 86', Mosquera Moreno Y. , Agamez M. ,
  • 87', Zapata A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 90+2', Agamez M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycyp7d82

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
63.8%
Draw
23.4%
Junior Barranquilla
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 28.3% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 28.5% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.
  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.94)
    4.04
    (3.25)
    7.4
    (3.8)
    6.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 58.6%97%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Santa Fe (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Santa Fe is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1
    21.02.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla 3:0
    02.09.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla 1:0
    18.03.2023 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1
    23.11.2022 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe 2:3
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )